Scramble Normandy and 114. Not 113.
L12G4Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)+Tech
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Yeah, I had already thought about it but realized I have everything to lose and the only thing to gain is a faster win.
Also, I think I have a bit higher odds than that. But I won’t be attacking it - pretty sure… Not even for 1 round - I could lose twice as many infantry as you… Your AA guns can’t help you on attack…
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blah… I need to reposition stuff on my ncm for ger :-P
hold on
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OK, was just starting to check
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One error your map had was 2 infantry in Bess (should be 3) and 1 extra in Suk
You did move AA from Bel to Bry without typing
Also 2 fighters from Holland to Wgr -
I calculate 67.5% on Bry
Tantalizing, but is the wrong move given my positions around the world
If I got unlucky rolls I could be trading 23 infantry for 8 and 3 aa guns in the first round, which would then give you like a 60% chance on Russia when you have no chance if I don’t attack…. So yeah, it’s too risky. Especially when I have key targets at Arc and Ros I would have to give up, and could lose air to AA.
Tough to resist, but resist I will. -
But I’ve said too much, since you haven’t locked in non-coms…
Need to go to bed - playing tomorrow
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got those errors
revised ncms
mech goes from wgr to ger
aa from wgr to ger
ftr from sita to gerplace 4inf in ger
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67% eh? what calculator are you using? Frood?
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No, I use this one that was posted on the site a few years ago. Doesn’t really have a name. It’s awesome, but not perfect on the fleet battles when you have destroyers, subs, and air…
And it doesn’t do G40, so I have to make modifications.
For 3 AA defending, I put in 6 bombers and put in 3 less men, so you still have the 6 punch for 3 men in the first round, but you have 6 casualties for 3 men and 3 AA.
2 hit carriers and tacs take a little more imagination. -
Seems you have 3 extra infantry placed now…. 1 too many in Bry, and 2 too many in Suk?
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I think everything else checks out….
Please confirm Bry and Suk
I have 5 infantry in Suk and 20 in Bry
You have 7 and 21 -
hmm, 5 in sukr is right per your map
but, 21 in bry is right by my map
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blah… ok, I see I didn’t take the hit in bry, so 20 inf in bry.
Good catch! :wink:
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That explains a lot of the disparity in our success percentages, too.
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1inf? hm… I use DS kelly for battle calculations. Not perfect, but easy.
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Yes, one infantry in a battle like that can change the odds by quite a bit.
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R6 with 26, buy 6 INF, 2 ART
Combat moves -
Ros - MECH, FTR (Rus)
Arc - 2 MECH, FTR, TAC (Rus)Arc
Rolls: 2@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (1, 6)1@3: (1)1@4: (5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3) -
Ros
Rolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 01@1: (4)1@3: (5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
Ros2Rolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 11@1: (6)1@3: (1)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)
Ros3Rolls: 1@1 1@3; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)1@3: (5)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)
Retreat plane immediately if defense hits -
Rus - all air
Tam - INF (Sam) INF (Rus)
Sam - 13 INF (Novo) 4 MECH, ARM, 2 AA (Rus)
Novo - 7 INF, 2 AA (Kan)Place all (Rus)
Collect 22, 22 on hand
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