Calculating the odds of a certain number of AA missing is easy. Take 5/6 to the Nth power.
5/6 to the 3rd (NWE) = 57.9%
5/6 to the 9th (USA’s) = 19.4%Excel can do that.
And Pin, believe me, man, I have seen MANY dice results just as strange as Poland, there. Many. How about 5 of 6 aircraft shot down by AA on one turn? How about 13 tanks all missing, and the 3 defending tanks all hitting? I could go on.
If you regularly see 0.01% battles then i feel sorry for you or you got to be the luckiest man alive. By nature of the odds you have to roll 10 000 battles to see that happen. Ofcourse you will have seen it before, but far from in every game you play.
who the hell is pin?
get the grilled chix club w/no mayo, hold the fries. You can thank me in ther a.m.
Pin, if you are going to jump into a hot game and start posting, you need to clearly identify yourself.
JWW understandably thought you were me.
That could cause some serious misunderstandings if you’re not careful. Thanks.
Duely noted, i will not post anymore. Just tought it was obviouse as it says Pin on the left hand side of the post. And i just wanted to post some hard facts about statistics not commenting game. But just as i wrote that first post that sick outlier happened and i couldnt keep myself. Sorry for that, just ignore my post and go back to the game. A very interesting game you guys have going :)
@Pin:
This is the Poland battle odds for what happened, thats one sick sick outlier. You probably wont see such a skewed fight in most games you roll on this site :p
Pin, go look at some of the early Russian rounds.
This is just a fair payback.
@Pin:
Duely noted, i will not post anymore.
Your posts are welcome, although some people don’t like posts in the middle of their dice rolling. And since JWW and I were talking back and forth, he was expecting new posts from me, so was confused.
Just tought it was obviouse as it says Pin on the left hand side of the post.
Obvious is not enough sometimes, for JWW :wink:
And i just wanted to post some hard facts about statistics not commenting game. But just as i wrote that first post that sick outlier happened and i couldnt keep myself. Sorry for that, just ignore my post and go back to the game. A very interesting game you guys have going :)
Absolutely, I understand. I welcome your posts. Just didn’t like how JWW thought you were me. Cheers!
@Pin:
If you regularly see 0.01% battles then i feel sorry for you or you got to be the luckiest man alive. By nature of the odds you have to roll 10 000 battles to see that happen. Ofcourse you will have seen it before, but far from in every game you play.
Whoa, dude, both of those battles went AGAINST me, so does that make me the unluckiest man alive?
I have about 25,000 posts. I’ve played like 50 games. I don’t see .01% in every game I play, nor did I say that I did. I said I have seen many HIGHLY unlikely dice rolls, and I have seen my share of 1 and 2% results. Many in my favor, many against.
can someone please explain what some dude (?) is doing on a Friday night, reading & posting their thoughts in a random gaming threads on this site.? Seems very sad….must be a math major. :lol:
@JWW:
can someone please explain what some dude (?) is doing on a Friday night, reading & posting their thoughts in a random gaming threads on this site.? Seems very sad….must be a math major. :lol:
Whoa there. Pin just PM’d me, saying he’s watched this whole game. So it’s not random.
And I am a CPA and now a full-time math teacher 6th-12th. Definitely doesn’t hurt my A&A game.
Must…… survive… to eat McDonald’s…
TTYL :wink:
Russia in an hour…
Ok, last post :p
Im a major in financial math. Im prolly are sad person, but gf got to get up early tomorrow so im playing some Agricola while spectating you guys playing. Quit playing AA a year or so back myself, but still enjoy a good game, and i have followed youre game since the start :)
@JWW:
can someone please explain what some dude (?) is doing on a Friday night, reading & posting their thoughts in a random gaming threads on this site.? Seems very sad….must be a math major. :lol:
Whoa there. Pin just PM’d me, saying he’s watched this whole game. So it’s not random.
hmmmm.ok, seems a bit creepy. Tell Pin to get a date and go have some fun…. Can’t imagine going through this game thread is a “good time” but…there are some strange folks out there.
:lol:
Time to put my shoes on
:lol:
Time to put my shoes on
how’s your league game going against LL? I remember you stating awhile back that it didn’t look good?
Back, and feeling much better after a Dbl cheeseburger, fries, and coke. Oreo Mcflurry to follow it up.
I’m in trouble vs. Lucky. He has had a lot of UK income, and has like 17 UK fighters on Moscow. I probably won’t be able to crack Moscow, and before too long he’ll have Japan down to almost nothing, probably.
Will probably start out the year 0-2. You can have a field day with that.
USA has 49 on hand. When I completed the move, I forgot the 1 saved.
R17 with 44, buy 8 INF, 4 ARM
Combat moves -
Per - 16 INF, 2 ART (Cau) 6 INF (Kaz) ARM (Rus) ARM (EUk)
Sik - INF, 2 FTR (Hup)
Pol - 2 INF (BSt) 13 INF, 2 ART, ARM (EPl) 2 ARM (EUk)
Ukr - 3 INF (EUk) 2 ARM (Rus)
Pol
Rolls: 13@1 4@2 3@3; Total Hits: 413@1: (2, 6, 6, 2, 5, 1, 2, 2, 1, 6, 5, 1, 3)4@2: (2, 3, 6, 3)3@3: (4, 6, 6)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
PerRolls: 20@1 4@2 2@3; Total Hits: 720@1: (6, 5, 1, 6, 3, 5, 5, 2, 6, 1, 4, 5, 6, 5, 4, 6, 1, 5, 1, 6)4@2: (4, 1, 2, 5)2@3: (4, 1)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
UkrRolls: 3@1 2@3; Total Hits: 43@1: (1, 1, 1)2@3: (3, 6)Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 4)
SikRolls: 1@1 2@3; Total Hits: 21@1: (1)2@3: (4, 1)Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
Sik cleared, not taken
NCM -
Cau - 2 FTR (Sik) 3 ARM (EUk)
EPl - 4 INF (EUk)
BSt - 2 INF (Kar)
Eve - 2 ARM (Yak)
Nin - 3 INF, ART, 6 ARM, AA (Hup)
Pol - AA (EPl)
Per - AA (Kaz) ARM (Cau)
EPl - AA (Bel)
Kaz - 3 INF (Rus)
Z53 - SS (Z45)
Place 2 INF (Kar)
Place 6 INF (Rus)
Place 4 ARM (Cau)
Collect 44, 44 on hand
Back, and feeling much better after a Dbl cheeseburger, fries, and coke. Oreo Mcflurry to follow it up.
ouch, how ya feeling this am?
Will probably start out the year 0-2. You can have a field day with that.
it will be tough to overcome that and make the playoffs w/only eight games needed to qualify. If anyone can come back from that you can.
