BM 23 Playoff Final Gamerman (L+4) vs Farmboy (X)

[farmboy]

@gamerman01 now I have to figure out whether you are trying to convince me to trade German units for French navy or if this is just reverse psychology.

[gamerman01]

That’s part of my magic

[gamerman01]

But enough of that -

A good day to you, sir!

[farmboy]

TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 5

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3

Game History

Round: 5

    Research Technology - Germans

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans buy 1 destroyer, 7 infantry, 5 mech_infantrys and 2 submarines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        2 fighters moved from Western Germany to 125 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 113 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone
        2 bombers moved from Germany to 125 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from Southern Italy to 125 Sea Zone
        1 fighter and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Greece to Bessarabia
        1 mech_infantry moved from Eastern Poland to Bessarabia
        1 mech_infantry moved from Eastern Poland to Ukraine
              Germans take Ukraine from Russians
        1 armour moved from Belarus to Smolensk
              Germans take Smolensk from Russians
        1 armour moved from Smolensk to Bryansk
        5 armour, 8 artilleries, 32 infantry and 11 mech_infantrys moved from Belarus to Bryansk
        1 armour and 8 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Poland to Bryansk
        3 armour moved from Novgorod to Bryansk

    Combat - Germans
        Battle in Bryansk
            Germans attack with 10 armour, 8 artilleries, 32 infantry and 19 mech_infantrys
            British defend with 1 fighter; Russians defend with 1 aaGun and 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 10 armour, 8 artilleries, 32 infantry and 19 mech_infantrys in Bryansk, round 2 : 18/69 hits, 17.50 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 aaGun, 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Bryansk, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Bryansk
                2 infantry owned by the Russians, 1 aaGun owned by the Russians and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in Bryansk
            Germans win, taking Bryansk from Russians with 10 armour, 8 artilleries, 30 infantry and 19 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 15
            Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 1 aaGun and 2 infantry
            Casualties for British: 1 fighter
        Battle in Bessarabia
            Germans attack with 1 fighter, 1 mech_infantry and 3 tactical_bombers
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 fighter, 1 mech_infantry and 3 tactical_bombers in Bessarabia, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 2.33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Bessarabia, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Bessarabia
            Germans win, taking Bessarabia from Russians with 1 fighter, 1 mech_infantry and 3 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
        Battle in 125 Sea Zone
            Germans attack with 2 bombers, 1 destroyer and 3 fighters
            French defend with 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer
                Germans roll dice for 2 bombers, 1 destroyer and 3 fighters in 125 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 3.17 expected hits
                French roll dice for 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer in 125 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                1 destroyer owned by the Germans lost in 125 Sea Zone
                1 destroyer owned by the French and 1 cruiser owned by the French lost in 125 Sea Zone
            Germans win with 2 bombers and 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 12
            Casualties for Germans: 1 destroyer
            Casualties for French: 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        1 bomber moved from 125 Sea Zone to Western Germany
        1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Western Germany to 113 Sea Zone
        1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from 113 Sea Zone to Norway
        3 mech_infantrys moved from Germany to Eastern Poland
        2 aaGuns moved from Belarus to Bryansk
        3 infantry moved from Novgorod to Belarus
        1 bomber moved from 125 Sea Zone to Western Germany
        1 fighter moved from Greece to Western Germany
        3 mech_infantrys moved from Western Germany to Poland
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Greece to Western Germany
        1 fighter moved from 125 Sea Zone to Norway
        1 fighter moved from 125 Sea Zone to Norway
        1 fighter moved from 125 Sea Zone to Western Germany
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Bessarabia to Greece
        2 tactical_bombers moved from Bessarabia to Yugoslavia

    Place Units - Germans
        3 infantry placed in Novgorod
        3 infantry placed in France
        1 infantry and 5 mech_infantrys placed in Western Germany
        1 destroyer and 1 submarine placed in 113 Sea Zone
        1 submarine placed in 114 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Germans collect 51 PUs; end with 51 PUs
        Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 56 PUs
        Objective Germans 7 Control of Balkans: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 58 PUs
        Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 63 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

French regular : 0.17
Russians regular : 0.33
Germans regular : -1.00

Savegame

[farmboy]

I either took the bait or saw through your trick. :)

[gamerman01]

My doomed block took out 2 Germans, nice.

The French gambit totally depended on the dice. We both have to be happy again

[farmboy]

@gamerman01 yeah that was tough. If you had one more hit your counter would have 50/50 odds with my defense. I don’t think you are going to go for it given the game, but that is still symbolically a risk I want to avoid.

[gamerman01]

I was going to hit and run even with those 2 Germans. Buckle your seatbelt - I’ll review the scenario again, of course in the event I have poor luck, but I like the round 1 numbers

[gamerman01]

You rolled 9/24 hits on 1’s on the attack of Bryansk. I’m glad they were inconsequential! But maybe I should be scared…

Naaa… all dice rolls are independent

[gamerman01]

No, I only counted infantry.

STILL, it was 9/43 which is a scorching 20.9% rate

[gamerman01]

Uh oh. Can’t get automatic +5 from Arc or a high chance of stopping the Ukraine factory.

[gamerman01]

I don’t think I even need to think about it very long. You made a very big raise, now I call it.

[farmboy]

exciting!

[gamerman01]

Yes! I like it.

I’m going to make it riskier by taking Arc for the big 5. According to my calculations, that’s OK.

Stand by

[gamerman01]

Oh that did not just happen.

[gamerman01]

Complete disaster. 2/3 planes destroyed, and 12 hits instead of the 19 that remains after planes murdered. What do you lose?

[farmboy]

@gamerman01 ouch!

[farmboy]

@farmboy if you are asking for casualties, I will lose the 2 AA and then 10 inf

[farmboy]

@farmboy or actually if it is not too late can you post

[gamerman01]

If you get a great roll, that’s the game probably