Farmboy (Axis +4) vs Giallo (Allies) BM

[Giallo]

TripleA Manual Gamesave Post for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 7

Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers; Remaining resources: 2 PUs;

Combat Move - Americans
            4 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
            1 bomber moved from Suriname to Gibraltar
            2 marines moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 cruisers, 2 infantry, 2 marines, 2 mech_infantrys and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
            2 infantry, 2 marines and 2 mech_infantrys moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar

triplea_42164_Ame7.tsvg

[Giallo]

scramble?

[farmboy]

no scramble

[Giallo]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 7

Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers; Remaining resources: 2 PUs;

Combat Move - Americans
            4 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
            1 bomber moved from Suriname to Gibraltar
            2 marines moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 cruisers, 2 infantry, 2 marines, 2 mech_infantrys and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
            2 infantry, 2 marines and 2 mech_infantrys moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar

Combat - Americans
            Battle in Gibraltar
                Americans attack with 1 bomber, 4 fighters, 2 infantry, 2 marines, 2 mech_infantrys and 4 tactical_bombers
                Germans defend with 3 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers; Italians defend with 2 aaGuns, 1 airfield, 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 harbour, 4 infantry and 2 marines
                    AA fire in Gibraltar :  1/6 hits
                    1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in Gibraltar
                    Americans roll dice for 1 battleship and 2 cruisers in Gibraltar, round 2 :  2/3 hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 2 marines, 2 mech_infantrys and 4 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 2 :  6/14 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 2 aaGuns, 1 artillery, 5 fighters, 4 infantry, 2 marines and 2 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 2 :  4/14 hits
                    2 mech_infantrys owned by the Americans, 2 aaGuns owned by the Italians, 2 infantry owned by the Americans, 1 marine owned by the Italians, 1 artillery owned by the Italians and 4 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Gibraltar
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 marines and 4 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 3 :  5/10 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 5 fighters, 1 marine and 2 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 3 :  2/8 hits
                    2 tactical_bombers owned by the Germans, 1 tactical_bomber owned by the Americans, 1 marine owned by the Americans, 2 fighters owned by the Italians and 1 marine owned by the Italians lost in Gibraltar
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 1 marine and 3 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 4 :  4/8 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 3 fighters in Gibraltar, round 4 :  2/3 hits
                    3 fighters owned by the Germans and 2 fighters owned by the Americans lost in Gibraltar
                Americans win, taking Gibraltar from Italians with 1 bomber, 1 fighter, 1 marine and 3 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 48
                Casualties for Germans: 3 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers
                Casualties for Italians: 2 aaGuns, 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 4 infantry and 2 marines
                Casualties for Americans: 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 1 marine, 2 mech_infantrys and 1 tactical_bomber

Non Combat Move - Americans
            1 fighter and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Gibraltar to 91 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Gibraltar to Suriname
            1 carrier moved from 10 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from 26 Sea Zone to 10 Sea Zone
            2 aaGuns moved from Eastern United States to Central United States
            1 mech_infantry moved from Eastern United States to Western United States
            1 transport moved from 26 Sea Zone to 10 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 26 Sea Zone to 25 Sea Zone

Place Units - Americans
            1 destroyer placed in 10 Sea Zone
            2 fighters placed in Western United States
            Americans undo move 2.
            4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers placed in Eastern United States

Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 51 PUs; end with 53 PUs
            Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 58 PUs
            Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 63 PUs
            Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 73 PUs

triplea_42164_Ame7.tsvg

[Giallo]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 7

Purchase Units - Chinese
            Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
            Chinese buy 3 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs;

Combat Move - Chinese

Place Units - Chinese
            1 infantry placed in Chahar
            1 infantry placed in Hopei
            1 infantry placed in Kweichow

Turn Complete - Chinese
            Chinese collect 9 PUs; end with 11 PUs

triplea_42164_Chi7.tsvg

[Giallo]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 7

Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers; Remaining resources: 2 PUs;

Combat Move - Americans
            4 fighters and 4 tactical_bombers moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
            1 bomber moved from Suriname to Gibraltar
            2 marines moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern United States to 101 Sea Zone
            2 cruisers, 2 infantry, 2 marines, 2 mech_infantrys and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
            2 infantry, 2 marines and 2 mech_infantrys moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar

Combat - Americans
            Battle in Gibraltar
                Americans attack with 1 bomber, 4 fighters, 2 infantry, 2 marines, 2 mech_infantrys and 4 tactical_bombers
                Germans defend with 3 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers; Italians defend with 2 aaGuns, 1 airfield, 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 harbour, 4 infantry and 2 marines
                    AA fire in Gibraltar :  1/6 hits
                    1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in Gibraltar
                    Americans roll dice for 1 battleship and 2 cruisers in Gibraltar, round 2 :  2/3 hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 2 marines, 2 mech_infantrys and 4 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 2 :  6/14 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 2 aaGuns, 1 artillery, 5 fighters, 4 infantry, 2 marines and 2 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 2 :  4/14 hits
                    2 mech_infantrys owned by the Americans, 2 aaGuns owned by the Italians, 2 infantry owned by the Americans, 1 marine owned by the Italians, 1 artillery owned by the Italians and 4 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Gibraltar
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 2 marines and 4 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 3 :  5/10 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 5 fighters, 1 marine and 2 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 3 :  2/8 hits
                    2 tactical_bombers owned by the Germans, 1 tactical_bomber owned by the Americans, 1 marine owned by the Americans, 2 fighters owned by the Italians and 1 marine owned by the Italians lost in Gibraltar
                    Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 3 fighters, 1 marine and 3 tactical_bombers in Gibraltar, round 4 :  4/8 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 3 fighters in Gibraltar, round 4 :  2/3 hits
                    3 fighters owned by the Germans and 2 fighters owned by the Americans lost in Gibraltar
                Americans win, taking Gibraltar from Italians with 1 bomber, 1 fighter, 1 marine and 3 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 48
                Casualties for Germans: 3 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers
                Casualties for Italians: 2 aaGuns, 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 4 infantry and 2 marines
                Casualties for Americans: 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 1 marine, 2 mech_infantrys and 1 tactical_bomber

Non Combat Move - Americans
            1 fighter and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Gibraltar to 91 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Gibraltar to Suriname
            1 carrier moved from 10 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from 26 Sea Zone to 10 Sea Zone
            2 aaGuns moved from Eastern United States to Central United States
            1 mech_infantry moved from Eastern United States to Western United States
            1 transport moved from 26 Sea Zone to 10 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 26 Sea Zone to 25 Sea Zone

Place Units - Americans
            1 destroyer placed in 10 Sea Zone
            2 fighters placed in Western United States
            Americans undo move 2.
            4 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers placed in Eastern United States

Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 51 PUs; end with 53 PUs
            Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 58 PUs
            Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 63 PUs
            Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 73 PUs
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from 91 Sea Zone: 3 transports
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to 89 Sea Zone: 3 transports
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

Purchase Units - Chinese
            Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
            Chinese buy 3 infantry; Remaining resources: 2 PUs;

Combat Move - Chinese

Place Units - Chinese
            1 infantry placed in Chahar
            1 infantry placed in Hopei
            1 infantry placed in Kweichow

Turn Complete - Chinese
            Chinese collect 9 PUs; end with 11 PUs

Purchase Units - British
            British buy 2 armour, 2 artilleries, 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Purchase Units - UK_Pacific
            UK_Pacific buy 3 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs;

Combat Move - British
            2 artilleries and 4 infantry moved from Persia to Northwest Persia
            1 mech_infantry moved from Egypt to Iraq
                  British take Iraq from Italians
            1 mech_infantry moved from Egypt to Syria
                  British take Syria from Italians
            1 bomber moved from French Equatorial Africa to Northwest Persia
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Union of South Africa to Belgian Congo
            4 infantry moved from Brazil to French Guiana
                  British take French Guiana from Neutral_Axis
            2 fighters moved from India to Burma
            2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from India to Burma

Combat - British
            Battle in Northwest Persia
                British attack with 2 artilleries, 1 bomber and 4 infantry
                Italians defend with 1 aaGun, 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 2 marines
                    AA fire in Northwest Persia :  0/1 hits
                    British roll dice for 2 artilleries, 1 bomber and 4 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 2 :  1/7 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 aaGun, 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 2 marines in Northwest Persia, round 2 :  1/4 hits
                    1 aaGun owned by the Italians and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia
                    British roll dice for 2 artilleries, 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 3 :  1/6 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 2 marines in Northwest Persia, round 3 :  2/4 hits
                    2 infantry owned by the British and 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Northwest Persia
                    British roll dice for 2 artilleries, 1 bomber and 1 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 4 :  2/4 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 artillery and 2 marines in Northwest Persia, round 4 :  0/3 hits
                    1 marine owned by the Italians and 1 artillery owned by the Italians lost in Northwest Persia
                    British roll dice for 2 artilleries, 1 bomber and 1 infantry in Northwest Persia, round 5 :  1/4 hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 marine in Northwest Persia, round 5 :  0/1 hits
                    1 marine owned by the Italians lost in Northwest Persia
                British win, taking Northwest Persia from Italians with 2 artilleries, 1 bomber and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 13
                Casualties for British: 3 infantry
                Casualties for Italians: 1 aaGun, 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 2 marines
            Battle in Burma
                British attack with 2 artilleries, 2 fighters and 2 infantry
                Japanese defend with 2 artilleries, 1 infantry and 1 marine
                    British roll dice for 2 artilleries, 2 fighters and 2 infantry in Burma, round 2 :  3/6 hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 2 artilleries, 1 infantry and 1 marine in Burma, round 2 :  1/4 hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese, 2 artilleries owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Burma
                    British roll dice for 2 artilleries, 2 fighters and 1 infantry in Burma, round 3 :  3/5 hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 marine in Burma, round 3 :  0/1 hits
                    1 marine owned by the Japanese lost in Burma
                British win, taking Burma from Japanese with 2 artilleries, 2 fighters and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 13
                Casualties for British: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 2 artilleries, 1 infantry and 1 marine

Non Combat Move - British
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Changing ownership of Libya from Italians to British
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            2 fighters moved from Burma to India
            1 bomber moved from Northwest Persia to Persia
            1 fighter moved from Persia to India
            3 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Egypt to Iraq
            1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Egypt to Persia
            1 armour moved from Tunisia to Tobruk
            1 cruiser moved from 89 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 91 Sea Zone to 106 Sea Zone

Place Units - British
            2 artilleries and 1 infantry placed in Persia
            British undo move 1.
            3 infantry placed in Persia
            2 artilleries and 1 infantry placed in Egypt
            2 armour and 1 mech_infantry placed in Union of South Africa

Turn Complete - British
            Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 119 Sea Zone. Rolls: 2,5
            British collect 38 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 38 PUs

Place Units - UK_Pacific
            3 infantry placed in India

Turn Complete - UK_Pacific
            UK_Pacific collect 6 PUs; end with 7 PUs
            Trigger UK Pacific 4 No Enemy Submarines: UK_Pacific met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 10 PUs
            Some Units in India change ownership: 3 infantry

triplea_42164_UK_7.tsvg

[Giallo]

uk got lucky again

[farmboy]

UK had some good roles in Burma but you mean the US right. I had calculated gibraltar at 32% odds for you and you won with plenty of air to spare. Painful.

[farmboy]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 7

Purchase Units - Italians
            Italians buy 2 artilleries, 1 fighter, 4 infantry and 2 marines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Italians
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Northern Italy to 95 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Southern Italy to 95 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 3 infantry and 2 transports moved from 95 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from 92 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
            1 transport moved from 92 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Southern France to 93 Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 93 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 92 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
            1 bomber moved from Greece to Egypt

Combat - Italians
            Strategic bombing raid in Egypt
                    AA fire in Egypt : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
                Bombing raid in Egypt rolls: 8 and causes: 6 damage to unit: factory_minor
                Bombing raid in Egypt causes 6 damage total.
            Battle in Gibraltar
                Italians attack with 1 artillery and 4 infantry
                British defend with 1 airfield and 1 harbour; Americans defend with 1 marine
                    Italians roll dice for 1 battleship and 2 cruisers in Gibraltar, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 1 marine in Gibraltar, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 marine owned by the Americans and 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Gibraltar
                Italians win, taking Gibraltar from British with 1 artillery and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 2
                Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Americans: 1 marine

Non Combat Move - Italians
            2 transports moved from 92 Sea Zone to 95 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Egypt to Greece
            1 destroyer moved from 95 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Ukraine to Southern Italy

Place Units - Italians
            1 fighter and 2 infantry placed in Southern Italy
            2 artilleries, 2 infantry and 2 marines placed in Northern Italy

Turn Complete - Italians
            Italians collect 13 PUs; end with 13 PUs
            Objective Italians 1 Control The Mediterranean: Italians met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 18 PUs
            Objective Italians 5 Control Convoy Lanes: Italians met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 21 PUs
            Objective Italians 2 Roman Empire: Italians met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 26 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Italians : -0.67
    British : 0.67
    AA fire in Egypt : : -0.17

triplea_42164_Ita7.tsvg

[Giallo]

@farmboy:

UK had some good roles in Burma but you mean the US right. I had calculated gibraltar at 32% odds for you and you won with plenty of air to spare. Painful.

I had 82%

[Giallo]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 7

Purchase Units - ANZAC
            ANZAC buy 2 artilleries and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 3 PUs;

Combat Move - ANZAC
            1 submarine moved from 77 Sea Zone to 81 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from New South Wales to South Australia
            3 fighters moved from New South Wales to South Australia

Combat - ANZAC
            Battle in South Australia
                ANZAC attack with 3 fighters and 1 infantry
                Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                    ANZAC roll dice for 3 fighters and 1 infantry in South Australia, round 2 :  0/4 hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in South Australia, round 2 :  0/1 hits
                    ANZAC roll dice for 3 fighters and 1 infantry in South Australia, round 3 :  3/4 hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in South Australia, round 3 :  1/1 hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the ANZAC lost in South Australia
                ANZAC win with 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
                Casualties for ANZAC: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - ANZAC
            3 fighters moved from South Australia to New South Wales

Place Units - ANZAC
            2 artilleries and 1 infantry placed in New South Wales

Turn Complete - ANZAC
            ANZAC collect 6 PUs; end with 9 PUs
            Objective ANZAC 3 Pacific Supply Lines: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 12 PUs

triplea_42164_ANZ7.tsvg

[Giallo]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 7

Purchase Units - ANZAC
            ANZAC buy 2 artilleries and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 3 PUs;

Combat Move - ANZAC
            1 submarine moved from 77 Sea Zone to 81 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from New South Wales to South Australia
            3 fighters moved from New South Wales to South Australia

Combat - ANZAC
            Battle in South Australia
                ANZAC attack with 3 fighters and 1 infantry
                Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                    ANZAC roll dice for 3 fighters and 1 infantry in South Australia, round 2 :  0/4 hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in South Australia, round 2 :  0/1 hits
                    ANZAC roll dice for 3 fighters and 1 infantry in South Australia, round 3 :  3/4 hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in South Australia, round 3 :  1/1 hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the ANZAC lost in South Australia
                ANZAC win with 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
                Casualties for ANZAC: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - ANZAC
            3 fighters moved from South Australia to New South Wales

Place Units - ANZAC
            2 artilleries and 1 infantry placed in New South Wales

Turn Complete - ANZAC
            ANZAC collect 6 PUs; end with 9 PUs
            Objective ANZAC 3 Pacific Supply Lines: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 12 PUs

Combat Move - French

Turn Complete - French

triplea_42164_Fre7.tsvg

[farmboy]

Weird. I checked it again (from your US combat move file) and still came up with 35% on a 20,000 run count. Are you sure you got 82%? I’m curious if the calculators are giving us different numbers.

@Giallo:

@farmboy:

UK had some good roles in Burma but you mean the US right. I had calculated gibraltar at 32% odds for you and you won with plenty of air to spare. Painful.

I had 82%

[farmboy]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 8

Research Technology - Germans

Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans buy 2 artilleries, 4 fighters, 7 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Germans
            1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Ukraine to Western Ukraine
            1 artillery and 4 infantry moved from Ukraine to Rostov
            1 bomber moved from Novgorod to Bryansk
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Ukraine to Tambov
            1 infantry moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
            1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda
                  Germans take Vologda from Russians
            1 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Archangel to Urals
                  Germans take Nenetsia from Russians
                  Germans take Urals from Russians
            1 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Volgograd to Tambov
            2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Ukraine to Rostov
            1 infantry moved from Ukraine to Bryansk

Combat - Germans
            Germans creates battle in territory 125 Sea Zone
            Battle in Bryansk
                Germans attack with 1 bomber and 2 infantry
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 2 infantry in Bryansk, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Bryansk, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Bryansk
                Germans win, taking Bryansk from Russians with 1 bomber and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Battle in Western Ukraine
                Germans attack with 1 artillery and 3 infantry
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 1 artillery and 3 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Western Ukraine
                Germans win, taking Western Ukraine from Russians with 1 artillery and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
                Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Battle in Tambov
                Germans attack with 1 armour, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Tambov, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Tambov, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Tambov
                Germans win, taking Tambov from Russians with 1 armour, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Battle in Rostov
                Germans attack with 3 artilleries and 6 infantry
                Russians defend with 1 infantry
                    Germans roll dice for 3 artilleries and 6 infantry in Rostov, round 2 : 0/9 hits, 2.50 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Rostov, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 3 artilleries and 6 infantry in Rostov, round 3 : 1/9 hits, 2.50 expected hits
                    Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Rostov, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Rostov
                Germans win, taking Rostov from Russians with 3 artilleries and 6 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry

Non Combat Move - Germans
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Tambov to Caucasus
            1 bomber moved from Bryansk to Novgorod
            1 infantry moved from Belarus to Smolensk
            2 aaGuns, 3 artilleries and 8 infantry moved from Ukraine to Rostov
            7 mech_infantrys moved from Ukraine to Volgograd
            11 armour and 7 mech_infantrys moved from Ukraine to Caucasus
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Poland to Ukraine
            2 mech_infantrys moved from Germany to Eastern Poland
            3 fighters moved from Western Germany to Gibraltar
            1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Belarus
            9 armour moved from Ukraine to Volgograd
            2 armour moved from Ukraine to Caucasus

Place Units - Germans
            2 artilleries and 1 infantry placed in Ukraine
            3 infantry placed in Volgograd
            3 infantry placed in Novgorod
            2 mech_infantrys placed in Germany
            4 fighters placed in Western Germany
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from 119 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Germans to 111 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

Turn Complete - Germans
            Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 0
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 125 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,5
            Germans collect 63 PUs; end with 63 PUs
            Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 68 PUs
            Objective Germans 7 Control of Balkans: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 70 PUs
            Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 75 PUs
            Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 85 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : -2.33
    Russians : -0.67

triplea_42164_Ger8.tsvg

[Giallo]

@farmboy:

Weird. I checked it again (from your US combat move file) and still came up with 35% on a 20,000 run count. Are you sure you got 82%? I’m curious if the calculators are giving us different numbers.

@Giallo:

@farmboy:

UK had some good roles in Burma but you mean the US right. I had calculated gibraltar at 32% odds for you and you won with plenty of air to spare. Painful.

I had 82%

Did you do amphibious

[farmboy]

I did and added the two cruisers and the Battleship.

[Giallo]

@farmboy:

I did and added the two cruisers and the Battleship.

Did you also scratched the box for an amphibious assault

[farmboy]

I did. I attached a screenshot too.

[farmboy]

It makes sense that it should be very close. Attack power is at 40 for each of us. I have one more unit and the AA and more units that always roll at 4 but you have the 3 amphibious shots. If we were rolling average, you would lose 1 fighter to my AA (dropping your attack power by 4 since a tac would lose its bonus) and I would lose both my AA to your amphibious. Then I should average 7 hits (dropping your attack power by 11) and you should average 6 (dropping mine by 12). That should leave me with a slight edge going forward. But if you are getting very different odds, than something is screwy with the calculator.

[Giallo]

I have completely different odds