G4013L Karl7(Axis) v. Gamerman (Allies)

[Karl7]

so, you want to attack nukr?  Please, I wish to receive the Russians with open arms.  8-)

[gamerman01]

Was just going to ask if that noncom was final so I could get started.

Nuk is indeed enticing.  I still have to calculate the Moscow defense if I attack it, however.

[gamerman01]

Perhaps your luck will run out.  You’ve been dodging bullets since you took the one on UK1, friend

[Karl7]

Well, I stacked both nukr and bel to both be strong.  I figure if you attack either I’ll be able to counter and wipe you out.  My forces are very mobile.  Needless to say, fighting your forces out in the open is more appealing than assaulting a fortified Moscow… bloodbath!

[gamerman01]

Oh, thanks for pointing out Bel.  I need to run odds on it too.  You help me way too much

[gamerman01]

No, not Bel.  NUk it is, but I need to calculate Moscow now if I don’t attack…

[Karl7]

My forces as are will not be able to take moscow if you pull back and build up in Moscow.

But, if you attack me…  :evil:

[gamerman01]

Yes, I think you’re mistaken.  You’ve given me a better chance to defend Moscow by giving me a high % shot on a big chunk of your army….

Ready… aim…   :-D

[gamerman01]

@Karl7:

My forces as are will not be able to take moscow if you pull back and build up in Moscow.

But, if you attack me…  :evil:

Wrong.  Moscow is in big trouble as is.  You’ve given me the break I need
If I just back up and defend, you’ll take Moscow on G6 with very high probability and have tons of tanks left over.  Dice permitting, I ought to be able to slaughter half of them now!

[Karl7]

Hmm, not according to my numbers. Moscow will hold.

[gamerman01]

You’re helping me again!  Now I’ll double check

G6 you could easily have
INF 39
ART 5
ARM 20
FTR 2 (after losing 1 to AA)
BMB 7

I would defend with approx
INF 50
ART 5
ARM/TAC 3
FTR 5
BMB 1
AA 3

[Karl7]

what calculator are you using?

[gamerman01]

That’s classified.

I just ran it in AAA and I get the same result.  High 90’s.  I don’t like those odds.  If I hit you now, I can get it below 50% for G6.

It’s a no-brainer.

[Karl7]

Well, if you win your army will be out of position.  I will move past it.  I guess I don’t understand how you attacking will help.  If you attack and retreat, I’ll  take out your army in bry.  :?

[gamerman01]

What army in Bry?  I won’t be hitting and running.

My calculator seems to agree with the Triple A calc.  Both also show 77% attack on NUk.

No, I have it all figured out.  Watch and learn

[gamerman01]

R4 with 36, buy 7 INF, 2 ART, MECH (save 3)

Combat moves -
NUk - Everything

Rolls: 3@1; Total Hits: 03@1: (5, 3, 3)

[gamerman01]

Awesome, my odds just increased

Rolls: 21@1 10@2 3@3 2@4; Total Hits: 721@1: (5, 3, 4, 5, 1, 5, 3, 6, 6, 6, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 4, 2, 1, 5, 4, 6)10@2: (6, 1, 5, 4, 4, 4, 6, 6, 6, 1)3@3: (4, 3, 4)2@4: (3, 4)
Rolls: 17@2 11@3; Total Hits: 1117@2: (2, 5, 3, 2, 4, 1, 5, 1, 4, 2, 5, 6, 2, 3, 3, 1, 2)11@3: (4, 6, 6, 1, 3, 5, 6, 3, 5, 4, 5)

[gamerman01]

Dang!  2 hits below average and you hit average

I gotta be happy about the AA though
Russia loses 11 INF, Germany loses AA, 6 INF?  Right?

[Karl7]

wow, that was bad for both of us

[Karl7]

aa, inf right