14L Playoff R1 wheatbeer (Axis) vs Gamerman (Allies +22)

[wheatbeer]

Odds of Japanese victory here were only 63% (this looks like an upper 25% result for Allies, so not crazy unlikely). Just rough to follow losing the coin-flip in SZ35.

I am not sure of the precise odds in SZ35. If you factor in the 2 kamikazes, it may have very slightly favored Japan.

[gamerman01]

You are correct on the Z35 odds.  It was slightly in Japan’s favor with the kamis
I’m checking odds on India now.  I think they were a little higher than 63%.  I think it was about 63% with Russian bombers, which weren’t there

[gamerman01]

No, you were right.  It’s only about 63% of taking with a tank (is with an AA50 calculator, so I have to make some approximations), without Russian bombers…

[gamerman01]

Roughly top 19% I figure, so you are pretty much right again.

[gamerman01]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.9

Game History

Round: 10

Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 1 armour, 1 artillery, 3 bombers, 1 destroyer, 3 infantry, 2 submarines and 3 transports; Remaining resources: 1 PUs;

Combat Move - Americans
            1 artillery moved from Sumatra to 41 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Philippines to 35 Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 35 Sea Zone to 19 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 19 Sea Zone to Okinawa
            1 infantry moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 33 Sea Zone to 22 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from Marianas to 22 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 22 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 20 Sea Zone to Formosa
            1 fighter moved from Midway to Japan
            1 bomber moved from Guam to Japan
            1 fighter moved from Guam to Japan
            1 bomber moved from Morocco to Holland Belgium
            1 submarine moved from 92 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Holland Belgium
            1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to Holland Belgium
            1 fighter moved from Morocco to Holland Belgium
            1 artillery and 1 transport moved from 41 Sea Zone to 38 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from 38 Sea Zone to Burma
            1 armour moved from Hunan to Yunnan
                  Chinese take Kwangsi from Japanese

Combat - Americans
            Air Battle in Japan
                Americans attacks with 3 units heading to Japan
                Air Battle is over, the remaining bombers go on to their targets
            Strategic bombing raid in Japan
                Bombing raid in Japan rolls: 6 and causes: 6 damage to unit: airfield
                Bombing raid in Japan causes 6 damage total.
            Battle in Burma
            Battle in Formosa
            Battle in Okinawa
            Battle in Holland Belgium
                Americans attack with 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 1 infantry
                Germans defend with 2 infantry
                Americans win, taking Burma from Japanese, taking Formosa from Japanese, taking Okinawa from Japanese, taking Holland Belgium from Germans with 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry
            Battle in 93 Sea Zone
                Americans attack with 1 submarine
                Italians defend with 1 transport
                Americans win with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
                Casualties for Italians: 1 transport
            Cleaning up after air battles

Non Combat Move - Americans
            1 fighter moved from Holland Belgium to 110 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Holland Belgium to United Kingdom
            1 fighter moved from Holland Belgium to United Kingdom
            1 armour moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 2 infantry, 1 submarine and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Tunisia to Algeria
            1 transport moved from 110 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from 110 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Russia to Algeria
            1 transport moved from 91 Sea Zone to 106 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Eastern United States to Quebec
            1 aaGun and 2 infantry moved from Central United States to Southeast Mexico
            1 carrier moved from 26 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 26 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Japan to Shantung
            1 destroyer moved from 33 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Hawaiian Islands to 26 Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 26 Sea Zone to 33 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from 33 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
            2 infantry moved from Western United States to 10 Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 10 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from 26 Sea Zone to Hawaiian Islands
            2 submarines moved from 20 Sea Zone to 37 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 19 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 20 Sea Zone
            1 mech_infantry moved from Algeria to Libya
            1 mech_infantry moved from Morocco to Tunisia
            1 armour, 1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco

Place Units - Americans
            3 transports placed in 101 Sea Zone
            2 infantry placed in Eastern United States
            1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 infantry placed in Central United States
            3 bombers placed in Western United States
            1 destroyer and 2 submarines placed in 110 Sea Zone

Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 71 PUs; end with 72 PUs total
            Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 77 PUs
            Objective Americans 4 Philippines: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 82 PUs
            Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 87 PUs
            Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 97 PUs
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from 92 Sea Zone: 1 destroyer
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to 98 Sea Zone: 1 destroyer
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from 92 Sea Zone: 1 cruiser
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to 97 Sea Zone: 1 cruiser
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from 99 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to 97 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

[gamerman01]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.9

Game History

Round: 10

Purchase Units - Chinese
            Trigger Chinese Artillery Supplies: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Open
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from Borneo: 1 bomber
            EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to Guam: 1 bomber
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            Chinese buy 2 artilleries and 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Chinese
            1 infantry moved from Jehol to Manchuria
                  Chinese take Manchuria from Japanese
            1 infantry moved from Kiangsi to Kwangtung
                  UK_Pacific take Kwangtung from Japanese

Combat - Chinese

Non Combat Move - Chinese
            1 infantry moved from Yunnan to Burma
            5 infantry moved from Shantung to Jehol
            1 infantry moved from Anhwe to Jehol
            1 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Shantung
            1 infantry moved from Hunan to Yunnan
            2 infantry moved from Hunan to Yunnan
            2 infantry moved from Kweichow to Szechwan
            2 infantry moved from Kweichow to Yunnan

Place Units - Chinese
            4 infantry placed in Manchuria
            2 artilleries placed in Jehol

Turn Complete - Chinese
            Chinese collect 23 PUs; end with 23 PUs total
            Objective Chinese 1 Burma Road: Chinese met a national objective for an additional 6 PUs; end with 29 PUs

[gamerman01]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 2nd Edition, version: 3.9

Game History

Round: 10

Purchase Units - British
            British buy 1 armour, 1 artillery, 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Purchase Units - UK_Pacific
            UK_Pacific buy 3 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - British
            1 infantry moved from West India to 79 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from West India to 79 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 79 Sea Zone to 38 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 38 Sea Zone to Shan State
            1 submarine moved from 125 Sea Zone to 112 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 125 Sea Zone to 112 Sea Zone
            1 carrier and 1 fighter moved from 110 Sea Zone to 112 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from 110 Sea Zone to Norway
            2 infantry moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Southern France
            1 artillery moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Southern France
            1 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
            1 armour moved from Normandy Bordeaux to 110 Sea Zone
            1 armour, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 110 Sea Zone to 112 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 112 Sea Zone to Norway
            1 armour moved from 112 Sea Zone to Norway
            1 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 110 Sea Zone to 112 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from 112 Sea Zone to Denmark
            1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to 112 Sea Zone
            4 fighters moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Southern France
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Union of South Africa to 71 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 71 Sea Zone to 80 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 80 Sea Zone to Persia
            1 cruiser moved from 79 Sea Zone to 80 Sea Zone
            1 battleship moved from 79 Sea Zone to 80 Sea Zone

Combat - British
            Battle in 112 Sea Zone
                British attack with 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 1 fighter, 1 submarine and 2 transports; Americans loiter and taunt
                Germans defend with 1 submarine
                British win with 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 1 fighter, 1 submarine and 2 transports remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for Germans: 1 submarine
            Battle in Denmark
            Battle in Norway
                British attack with 1 armour, 1 fighter and 1 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 infantry
                British win, taking Denmark from Germans, taking Norway from Germans with 1 armour, 1 fighter and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
            Battle in Shan State
                British attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Japanese defend with 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
                British win, taking Shan State from Japanese with 1 artillery remaining. Battle score for attacker is 5
                Casualties for British: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
            Battle in Persia
                British attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Germans defend with 6 armour and 5 mech_infantrys
                Germans win with 6 armour and 2 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 5
                Casualties for Germans: 3 mech_infantrys
                Casualties for British: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
            Battle in Southern France
                British attack with 1 artillery, 4 fighters and 2 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 artillery, 1 factory_minor, 1 harbour and 2 infantry
                British win, taking Southern France from Germans with 1 artillery and 4 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Germans: 1 artillery and 2 infantry
                Casualties for British: 2 infantry

Non Combat Move - British
            1 fighter moved from 112 Sea Zone to United Kingdom
            1 fighter moved from Norway to 112 Sea Zone
            4 fighters moved from Southern France to United Kingdom
            1 mech_infantry moved from Algeria to Libya
            1 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
            1 mech_infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
            1 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 transport moved from 110 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            1 mech_infantry moved from 92 Sea Zone to Algeria
            1 infantry moved from 92 Sea Zone to Algeria
            3 destroyers moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
            3 mech_infantrys moved from Ethiopia to Italian Somaliland
            1 destroyer moved from 72 Sea Zone to 76 Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from 75 Sea Zone to 71 Sea Zone
            1 armour moved from West India to Burma
            2 armour moved from India to Burma
            1 destroyer moved from 79 Sea Zone to 77 Sea Zone
            1 transport moved from 79 Sea Zone to 72 Sea Zone

Place Units - British
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry placed in Union of South Africa
            1 armour and 3 infantry placed in United Kingdom

Turn Complete - British
            British collect 34 PUs; end with 34 PUs total

Place Units - UK_Pacific
            3 infantry placed in India

Turn Complete - UK_Pacific
            UK_Pacific collect 14 PUs; end with 14 PUs total
            Some Units in India change ownership: 3 infantry

[gamerman01]

Assumed no scramble to 112

[wheatbeer]

Probably going to surrender. Will think it over another day or two to be sure, but I doubt I will find a way to salvage the situation.

[wheatbeer]

Okay, sure now.

I surrender.

Good game … I hope you’ll give me a rematch sometime later this season.  :-)

[gamerman01]

I would love to replay you later in the season

Hopefully you don’t draw me in the first round next year, right?

Wish me luck…

Good game, Wheat