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14L G40 TheWell-KnownSoldier(axis) vs Karl7(allies+12) Game 2


  • Actually my numbers are still off. You don’t need to win to wipe my units you only need to draw. But that it still 73% x 65% = 47% So you had almost a coin flip to avoid your fate. But that is fare from extreme bad luck…  :roll:

  • 22 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 12

    how are you getting 50% in the second.  All the battles were the same – I had 100% surety of hit, you had 60%.   2 ftrs at 3 vs 2 land at 2 each.  The other was 4inf, 1art vs 2 land which I had over 100% chance to hit.

    It has been a long time since I’ve taken statistics, but you are saying you multiply odds across iterations?

    Anyhow, the dice are the dice.  You are going to get Moscow and NSW which will set the Allies too far back.

    The game is over I think.


  • I use a combat calc to calculate the odds off the battles. You got one of the battles incorrect. I had a tank!  :evil:

  • 22 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 12

    @TheWell-KnownSoldier:

    I use a combat calc to calculate the odds off the battles. You got one of the battles incorrect. I had a tank!  :evil:

    AH!  I forgot the tank. ok makes more sense now.


  • That you multiply to get the final odds, that part of the math i’m sure I got correct.  :roll:
    Nevertheless you determine when you think you can hear the fat lady sing…  :-)

  • 22 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 12

    Ha ha…. out of fun I attacked the German stack, you got 36 hits in defense!

    Interesting game to the extent that my allied game is sucking.  I think 12 bid is definitely too low for me. When I saw I had a UK fleet in play, I thought ok, things are looking good, not really seeing you were going to take Moscow.

    Losing NSW would be tolerable but not both.

    I’ll post result.

    Maybe come November we can play again. I’ve got ton of games going and am going to lose most of them.  :lol:  Back to the drawing board for me!


  • I can’t claim to be an expert on the allies myself (or the axis  :roll:) but what I feared you would do last UK turn was to move your Egyptian fighters to Persia (perhaps even the India fighters). With a little fighter support Russia would have hold out long enough for it’s big stacks of infantry to get back I think…

    On the pacific side it wasn’t just conformation bias, you did suffer bad luck in the Japan vs ANZAC/USA war of attrition.  :|


  • In any event I look forward to play against you in the future.  :-)

  • 22 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 12

    @TheWell-KnownSoldier:

    I can’t claim to be an expert on the allies myself (or the axis  :roll:) but what I feared you would do last UK turn was to move your Egyptian fighters to Persia (perhaps even the India fighters). With a little fighter support Russia would have hold out long enough for it’s big stacks of infantry to get back I think…

    On the pacific side it wasn’t just conformation bias, you did suffer bad luck in the Japan vs ANZAC/USA war of attrition.  :|

    I know, I think if I had paid more attention to the Russia issue I’d been able to shore up the Russians… but that’s what happens when you have too many games going I think.


  • Test summary from TripleA, engine version: 1.8.0.3, time: 02:15:35


  • Wrong thread, the value of the test post.  :-)

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