Sea Lion - How would you do it?

[ghr2]

Uk builds 6 infantry and 1 fig UK1 and UK2 builds as much ground as possible(counting an average bombing run while bringing over as many units as it can from Canada.

UK, has enough to drive G3 sealion down to 30-40%.  This is also including a 97 strike.  But if there is a credible sealion risk, UK stacks 92 UK1 and brings planes/navy back UK2.

G3 Sealion only really works now a days if UK buys heavy for africa or germany gets unaturally good dice.

[DaddyK]

The success of a G3 sea lion is highly dependent on what the UK does, because a few units in or out of the fight can really tip the odds.  For example, if the UK builds all infantry both turns and does not do the sz 97 attack then they can have 5aa, 26inf, 1mech, 1tank, 5ftrs and 1bomber defending your attack of 11inf, 2arty,9tanks, 4ftr (assuming no losses and 1ftr covering the fleet) 5tac and 2bombers the odds of winning that fight are less than 20%.  On the otherhand if 2ftrs and 1bomber are in Med due to the sz97 attack and the 1inf and 1tank could not get over from Canada, then the odds are closer to 75%.

One thing you can do, if you made the big investment in transports and the strategic bombing did not work out as well as you expected, and you find the odds are prohibitive, is to land your 22 units on Scotland on G3 and then attack London on G4 with those plus another 22 units (just remember to buy 10 inf for Berlin on G4 so you are ready for the Russian on slaught).

Another option is to buy 2 transports on G1 instead of the sub and destroyer.  That way you can land 6 units in Scotland on G2 that the UK either has to attack (drawing units out of London) or are additional units for your attack on G3.  Just make sure your navy is strong enough not to be sunk by a UK2 attack.

On the subject of US bombers, the real threat they pose is not so much as defenders of London (although as noted above a few units can make a difference) but as destroyers of the German navy and your 77 ipc investment in transports.  5 bombers and 2 carriers worth of planes flying out of sz 102 can take out most German fleets (which may mean you need to make a naval buy for Normandy on your attack turn as Variance suggested) or you need to make sure that he cannot land in Erie or Scotland (this is why UK players often send the mech to Erie on UK1)

[Eqqman]

I agree that Bombers rock, I just think you can buy too many too early.  Since I haven’t seen to many Sea Lion games unfold I’ll take everyone’s word for it that they aren’t wasted (even if the attack is called off).  Where else can the Bombers land if Germany diverts 1 TT to take Ireland?  Since it’s been pointed out that Japan needs to hold off on the DoW to make this work, then you aren’t landing them in London US2 to count as hits in the G3 attack, which means that Germany can still probably have good odds to win even with the loss of 2 extra ground units.  If you didn’t get to land in London to defend and you are blocked from a round 3 attack due to lack of landing places, what is the Allied play then?

[Cow]

Another alternative is carrier 2 transport buy round 1.  You drop 6 units on scotland. The drawback to this is that it can be countered if UK keeps enough air on london and buys a sub or two, as he can sink the naval the shucks units over.

The advantage to carrier 2 transport buy, is you can shuck units to the baltic states and war with Russia instead.

Plus you can still do the UK thing,

On G2 you should bomb london to restrict their purchase and damage their airbase.

[variance]

OK Eggman so if Germany builds carrier, destroyer, sub, or like Cow said it builds carrier, 2 transports (or builds nothing at all), let’s say USA decides to build 4 bombers and UK builds all infantry and does not do taranto, brings fleet and planes home etc. so its a strong sealion defense.

Now if Germany builds transports anyway then sealion is on!  At this point if Japan makes an unprovoked dow on UK/ANZAC or USA, then those bombers fly to London and sealion will fail.  The axis side knows that so Japan cools its heels.  Sealion happens and London falls (2 out of 3 times), but then USSR builds such an enormous infantry reserve over the next few turns that a Europe win is next to impossible.  Don’t forget Russia also gets a windfall for holding originally axis territories on Eastern Europe for a turn or 2, plus Iraq.  So after sealion the axis must win on the Pacific side, but now the problem is that because USA built those bombers Japan has been on such a slow schedule that UK pacific and ANZAC are pretty strong.  Taking Calcutta and/or Sydney and/or Hawaii will be hard.

If Germany does not build the transports, those bombers are not useless.  They can cause all kinds of mayhem down around Australia or they could go to the med and do can openers for UK, or maybe even just reinforce a VC somewhere like they would have done for London.

If you are doing the sink-the-fleet approach (ie build carrier and 3 bombers), you could still send the 4 to London if Japan declares war, or if Japan cools it you can try and sink the fleet and land in Scotland or Eireland.  Notice that Germany can prevent this airstrike but that means unloading 2 of the transports on Eireland and Scotland instead of London and that might be enough to make sealion fail or lose air units.  Or they could spend money on carriers instead of infantry to defend Berlin.  The cute part of the sink the fleet thing is when you lose the carrier based planes first and then roll the carrier(s) out panama canal to the new naval base you will build there plus some fighters in Western USA.

[corporal]

ofcourse having those transports in the Baltic makes for a great way to dump troops into Lenningrad if you opt for Barbarossa instead. Make sure you protect those transports near airbases that way you can scramble as well. I like to have 5 transports just outside of Lenningrad and 5 in SZ 113. That gives you 10 new units to drop into Lenningrad plus what you build there.

[Maddog77]

@variance:

 If both sides do everything right and dice aren’t ridiculous, then sealion will work about 2 out of 3 tries.

You got that right! Last weekend I think I had the worst dice I’ve ever rolled. I couldn’t roll a 1,2 or 3 to save my life. Most of the night it was 4’s, 5’s & 6’s. That can be very demoralizing and hard to get past.

[Spendo02]

Something I thought about was the attempts at sinking the “non-main” fleets around the UK.  You know, the one off Canada with the DD and TT or the one in SZ109 or even the CR in SZ91.

Now I know the UK can get in 2, or even 4 more units from Canada if you ignore those ships early, but I think there is a significant benefit to initially ignoring them:

I would rather have fodder in the form of SS to take hits when I’m risking my aircraft to eliminate the fleets in SZ110 and SZ111 so that I can leverage those aircraft to clear the way on G2 and/or G3 in battles I’m confident I’ll win.

So instead of risking a SS vs DD in SZ106, or 2 SS in SZ109, I think theres more benefit and less risk in sinking those battleships early while preserving my aircraft and then dealing with some DD rolling @2 under potentially scrambling aircraft with the remaining subs with the entire German Air Force swinging where there is likely only one roll of the dice to clear the threat.

I’ll take my chances later with 4 more fodder units on London if I have more of my aircraft engaged in that attack because I protected them with my SS fodder units early.

Food for thought anyways, particularly if you want to wait until G4 to Sea Lion with “better” odds.

[Jeff28]

Interesting, but what would you do with the one in 117?

[knp7765]

@corporal:

ofcourse having those transports in the Baltic makes for a great way to dump troops into Lenningrad if you opt for Barbarossa instead. Make sure you protect those transports near airbases that way you can scramble as well. I like to have 5 transports just outside of Lenningrad and 5 in SZ 113. That gives you 10 new units to drop into Lenningrad plus what you build there.

I once got a Sealion of opportunity that way. I bought a carrier and 2 transports G1. UK 1 fighter and 6 infantry for London, plus my subs in SZ 106 failed so he brought over that DD and transport with 1 infantry and 1 tank. I decided that Sealion was a “no-go”. On G2, I bought 2 more transports along with some planes, ships and land units. On G3 I attacked Russia and used those 5 transports to hit Leningrad. All was successful and I was making good gains against the Russians.
UK saw this and got a little careless. He didn’t buy any more for London and used up his stack of men in invasions of Normandy, Holland and Norway. All were successful, but I also took them all back. I had to use those 5 transports to take Norway back with men and artillery/tanks from W Germany. My Baltic fleet plus planes also sank his transports and their escorts in SZ 112. This was round 7 when I took Norway back.
The US was mostly occupied with Japan so they weren’t doing much in the Atlantic, mostly bombing my factories and building an invasion force to hit Italy, but it was still in E USA at this time. This was when the UK made a fatal error. Instead of dumping a stack of men to protect London, they replaced the lost transports and a couple of warships for escorts. London was relatively lightly defended, mostly with tanks and men to go on the transports. So, on G8 I loaded my 5 transports and hit London and took it, which also got rid of the US bomber threat.
A couple of rounds later, the US did manage to get over there and liberate London and even sank my fleet, but Italy had gotten to Cairo and I took Moscow by that time. Next round I took Stalingrad and we had an Axis win on the Europe board.