18L JDOW (L) vs AetV (X) BM3 game II

[aequitas-et-veritas]

Your Russians are on Vodka Patrol :lol:

[JDOW]

Your luck in this game is unbelievable. What were the odds at bela, 14%. What were the odds at 94. this game goes in the hall of fame of neber ending unbelievable offensive dice by the Axis.

[aequitas-et-veritas]

woot woot  :-D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pddW-HeHAwo

[JDOW]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 4

Purchase Units - ANZAC
            ANZAC buy 1 artillery and 2 fighters; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - ANZAC

Non Combat Move - ANZAC
            1 destroyer moved from 30 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
            2 aaGuns moved from Queensland to South Australia
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 marine moved from New Zealand to 63 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 cruiser, 1 infantry, 1 marine and 1 transport moved from 63 Sea Zone to 61 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 61 Sea Zone to South Australia
            1 marine moved from 61 Sea Zone to South Australia
            1 artillery moved from 61 Sea Zone to South Australia
            1 fighter moved from New South Wales to New Zealand
            1 fighter moved from Queensland to New Zealand
            1 infantry moved from Queensland to South Australia
            1 infantry moved from Dutch New Guinea to New Guinea
            1 fighter and 1 infantry moved from Shan State to Burma
            2 infantry moved from French Madagascar to 72 Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 72 Sea Zone to 79 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from 79 Sea Zone to West India
            1 fighter moved from Iraq to India

Place Units - ANZAC
            1 artillery and 2 fighters placed in New South Wales

Turn Complete - ANZAC
            ANZAC collect 15 PUs; end with 15 PUs
            Trigger ANZAC 1 Control Original And Malaya: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 18 PUs
            Objective ANZAC 3 Pacific Supply Lines: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 21 PUs
            Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 24 PUs

Combat Move - French

Non Combat Move - French
            1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to Gibraltar
            1 infantry moved from Libya to Tobruk

Turn Complete - French

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

triplea_41732_Fre4.tsvg

[JDOW]

As I expect you to attack, yes, I scramble in 98 and max defense. Your luck cannot hold forever.

[JDOW]

I meant 92 of course.

[JDOW]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 4

Purchase Units - ANZAC
            ANZAC buy 1 artillery and 2 fighters; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - ANZAC

Non Combat Move - ANZAC
            1 destroyer moved from 30 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
            2 aaGuns moved from Queensland to South Australia
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 marine moved from New Zealand to 63 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 cruiser, 1 infantry, 1 marine and 1 transport moved from 63 Sea Zone to 61 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 61 Sea Zone to South Australia
            1 marine moved from 61 Sea Zone to South Australia
            1 artillery moved from 61 Sea Zone to South Australia
            1 fighter moved from New South Wales to New Zealand
            1 fighter moved from Queensland to New Zealand
            1 infantry moved from Queensland to South Australia
            1 infantry moved from Dutch New Guinea to New Guinea
            1 fighter and 1 infantry moved from Shan State to Burma
            2 infantry moved from French Madagascar to 72 Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 72 Sea Zone to 79 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from 79 Sea Zone to West India
            1 fighter moved from Iraq to India

Place Units - ANZAC
            1 artillery and 2 fighters placed in New South Wales

Turn Complete - ANZAC
            ANZAC collect 15 PUs; end with 15 PUs
            Trigger ANZAC 1 Control Original And Malaya: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 18 PUs
            Objective ANZAC 3 Pacific Supply Lines: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 21 PUs
            Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 24 PUs

Combat Move - French

Non Combat Move - French
            1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to Gibraltar
            1 infantry moved from Libya to Tobruk

Turn Complete - French
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by ANZAC from 62 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
            EDIT: Adding units owned by ANZAC to 63 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

triplea_41732_Fre4.tsvg

[JDOW]

Wow, this is really insane. I admit, I cannot recall a game with sicker dice.

So what we got.

13% at Belarus and 39% at 94. Imagine 94 fails, the transports as well as land units are just dead meat.
So we just have 5% that both of these battles go well.

Let’s take Italy Egypt 1 outcome which I consider top 25% and German Egypt outcome which I consider top 10% outcome and Hawaii outcome which I consider top 25% outcome, too.

So I end up at about 0.03% that every single important battle goes in your favor, regardless how thin the odds were. This does not even take into account the Yunnan disaster I experienced which was worse than your sze dice and the otherwise flawless dice Japan had 4 turns long.

Echt Kevin. Du gehst hier in die Hall of Fame ein. Das gleicht einem 5er im Lotto bisher.

Ich wuerde das Spiel immer wieder so spielen und in 99,9% der Faelle waere das zu meinen Gunsten entschieden.

Sorry, falls das aggressiv klingt, aber das ist kein gesundes Maß an Risiko mehr, das ist Harakiri und unfassbare, wie wirklich ALLES zu deinen Gunsten klappt.

Also erwarte ich auch weiterhin, dass du 92 und 81 selbstverstaendlich ohne losses clearst :-/

[JDOW]

Und sorry fuers dice whinen. Hab nicht die Groesse eines ME1945, der wirklich jeden Dice outcome, egal wie absurd ohne mit den Fingern an der Tastatur zu zucken hinnimmt.

[aequitas-et-veritas]

Verstehe mich nicht falsch ich mach das nicht zum trotz um dich zu aergern, sondern zum trotz wegen all den games die ich meistens, (nicht immer) so gespielt habe und mit favorable odds verloren habe.
Das feeling, was eine Gute  Strat. ist und was nicht geht dabei verloren.
Parallel in zwei games kann ich grad machen was ich will.
In dem einen würde mich mein Gegner sowas von ueberrennen aber die dice lassen es nicht zu.
Im anderen game rate, genau umgekehrt.

Gegen dich nahm ich einfach nur einen different approach an und komischerweise klappt das.
Das ist aber eine null Garantie und a one time Shot.

[JDOW]

Mein Rezept fuer die Axis ist solides, eher riskoaverses Spiel und auf Details achten.

Viele Leute denken “Hmm, hab ich konservativ gespielt und verloren, muss ich aggro spielen jetzt”. Die Wahrheit ist oft, dass die Leute eine Vielzahl kleiner Details zu unpräzise spielen und daher ins Hintertreffen geraten.

Ich bin explizit schlecht darin, mich ungluecklichen Dice umzugehen.

Nach wie vor glaube ich, dass ich sehr gute Siegchancen in unserem Game habe. Ist aber einzigartig, dass so viele Key-Battles in Folge zu Gunsten des Gegners laufen. Also new ground im new ground:D

[aequitas-et-veritas]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 5

Research Technology - Germans

Purchase Units - Germans
            Germans buy 3 armour, 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 4 mech_infantrys and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Germans
            1 armour moved from Novgorod to Vologda
                  Germans take Archangel from Russians
                  Germans take Vologda from Russians
            1 mech_infantry moved from Novgorod to Belarus
            1 mech_infantry moved from Belarus to Smolensk
                  Germans take Smolensk from Russians

Combat - Germans

Non Combat Move - Germans
            2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Belarus
            1 armour, 4 artilleries, 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Baltic States to Belarus
            3 aaGuns, 8 armour, 5 artilleries, 14 infantry, 5 mech_infantrys and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Eastern Poland to Belarus
            1 armour and 3 mech_infantrys moved from Germany to Eastern Poland
            1 armour moved from Karelia to Belarus
            1 artillery and 8 infantry moved from Karelia to Novgorod
            1 infantry moved from Norway to Finland
            2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Western Germany to 112 Sea Zone
            2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from 112 Sea Zone to Norway
            1 infantry moved from France to Western Germany
            1 infantry moved from France to Northern Italy
            3 fighters moved from Greece to Belarus
            3 bombers moved from Greece to Southern Italy
            1 fighter moved from Western Germany to Southern Italy
            1 destroyer moved from 125 Sea Zone to 112 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 112 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 112 Sea Zone to 123 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Western Germany to Belarus

Place Units - Germans
            1 artillery placed in Western Germany
            1 transport placed in 112 Sea Zone
            2 fighters placed in Western Germany
            3 armour placed in Novgorod
            4 mech_infantrys placed in Germany

Turn Complete - Germans
            Germans collect 48 PUs; end with 48 PUs
            Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 53 PUs
            Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 58 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

triplea_41732_Ger5.tsvg

[JDOW]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 5

Purchase Units - Russians
            Russians buy 5 artilleries, 5 infantry and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Russians
            1 submarine moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
            3 infantry moved from Urals to Vologda
            2 infantry moved from Russia to Smolensk
            1 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
            1 infantry moved from Bryansk to Western Ukraine
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Vologda
            1 fighter moved from Russia to Smolensk
            1 fighter moved from Russia to Western Ukraine

Combat - Russians
            Battle in 97 Sea Zone
                Russians attack with 1 submarine
                Italians defend with 1 transport
                    1 transport owned by the Italians lost in 97 Sea Zone
                    Russians roll dice for 1 submarine in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                Russians win, taking 97 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
                Casualties for Italians: 1 transport
            Battle in Western Ukraine
                Russians attack with 1 fighter and 1 infantry
                Italians defend with 1 infantry
                    Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Western Ukraine
                Russians win, taking Western Ukraine from Italians with 1 fighter and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
            Battle in Smolensk
                Russians attack with 1 fighter and 3 infantry
                Germans defend with 1 mech_infantry
                    Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 3 infantry in Smolensk, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 mech_infantry in Smolensk, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                    1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Smolensk
                Russians win, taking Smolensk from Germans with 1 fighter and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Germans: 1 mech_infantry
            Battle in Vologda
                Russians attack with 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Germans defend with 1 armour
                    Russians roll dice for 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Vologda, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 armour in Vologda, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,50 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 armour owned by the Germans lost in Vologda
                Russians win, taking Vologda from Germans with 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Germans: 1 armour

Non Combat Move - Russians
            1 aaGun and 2 infantry moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
            11 mech_infantrys moved from Russia to Bryansk
            9 armour moved from Russia to Bryansk
            1 aaGun and 6 infantry moved from Sakha to Amur
            1 aaGun and 9 infantry moved from Buryatia to Amur
            1 fighter moved from Smolensk to Bryansk
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Vologda to Bryansk
            1 fighter moved from Western Ukraine to Bryansk

Place Units - Russians
            1 mech_infantry placed in Volgograd
            5 artilleries and 5 infantry placed in Russia

Turn Complete - Russians
            Russians collect 30 PUs; end with 30 PUs
            Trigger Russians 7 Great Patriotic War: Russians met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 33 PUs
            Trigger Russians 2 Persia Lend Lease Lane: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 35 PUs
            Trigger Russians 3 Siberia Lend Lease Lane: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 37 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : 0,17
    Italians : -0,33
    Russians : 2,00

triplea_41732_Rus5.tsvg

[aequitas-et-veritas]

Soviel zu Details  :|

Gesegneten Karfreitag lieber Tobias.

[JDOW]

Du meinst den tt in 98? Ka, das ist gut für mich sag dir nach dem spiel, dass es aber auch vorteile hat fuer dich. Schoene Ostertage dir und deiner familie.

[JDOW]

Sollte heißen: ja, gut fuer mich, bringt aber auch vorteile fuer dich.

[aequitas-et-veritas]

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.3

Game History

Round: 5

Purchase Units - Japanese
            Japanese buy 1 artillery, 1 carrier, 2 destroyers and 6 infantry; Remaining resources: 6 SuicideAttackTokens; 0 PUs;

Combat Move - Japanese
            1 infantry moved from French Indo China to Shan State
                  Japanese take Shan State from UK_Pacific
            2 infantry moved from French Indo China to Yunnan
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Kweichow to Hunan
            1 infantry moved from Anhwe to Hunan
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from French Indo China to Yunnan
            1 marine moved from Borneo to 43 Sea Zone
            1 battleship and 1 marine moved from 43 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
            1 marine moved from 41 Sea Zone to Sumatra
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Borneo to 43 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 43 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 42 Sea Zone to Java
            1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 32 Sea Zone
            2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to 30 Sea Zone
            1 marine moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
            1 cruiser and 1 marine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 49 Sea Zone
            1 marine moved from 49 Sea Zone to Solomon Islands
            1 bomber moved from Philippines to 54 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Philippines to 54 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from 33 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to 30 Sea Zone
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 33 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 44 Sea Zone to Celebes

Combat - Japanese
            Battle in Java
            Battle in Sumatra
            Battle in 26 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 1 submarine
                Americans defend with 1 transport
                    1 transport owned by the Americans lost in 26 Sea Zone
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 submarine in 26 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                Japanese win, taking Java from ANZAC, taking Sumatra from UK_Pacific with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
                Casualties for Americans: 1 transport
            Battle in Celebes
            Battle in 32 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 1 submarine
                Americans defend with 1 transport
                    1 transport owned by the Americans lost in 32 Sea Zone
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 submarine in 32 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                Japanese win, taking Celebes from Dutch with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
                Casualties for Americans: 1 transport
            Battle in Solomon Islands
            Battle in 54 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 2 bombers, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber
                ANZAC defend with 1 destroyer
                    Japanese roll dice for 2 bombers, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in 54 Sea Zone, round 2 : 4/4 hits, 2,50 expected hits
                    ANZAC roll dice for 1 destroyer in 54 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                    1 destroyer owned by the ANZAC lost in 54 Sea Zone
                Japanese win, taking Solomon Islands from ANZAC with 2 bombers, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
                Casualties for ANZAC: 1 destroyer
            Battle in 30 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers
                Americans defend with 1 cruiser
                    Japanese roll dice for 2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers in 30 Sea Zone, round 2 : 3/4 hits, 2,33 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 cruiser in 30 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,50 expected hits
                    1 fighter owned by the Japanese and 1 cruiser owned by the Americans lost in 30 Sea Zone
                Japanese win with 1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 2
                Casualties for Americans: 1 cruiser
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 fighter
            Battle in Hunan
                Japanese attack with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Chinese defend with 1 infantry
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Hunan, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1,33 expected hits
                    Chinese roll dice for 1 infantry in Hunan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Hunan
                Japanese win, taking Hunan from Chinese with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Chinese: 1 infantry
            Battle in Yunnan
                Japanese attack with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                British defend with 2 armour
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Yunnan, round 2 : 3/4 hits, 1,50 expected hits
                    Chinese roll dice for 2 armour in Yunnan, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 1,00 expected hits
                    2 armour owned by the British lost in Yunnan
                Japanese win, taking Yunnan from Chinese with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 12
                Casualties for British: 2 armour

Non Combat Move - Japanese
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Yunnan to French Indo China
            1 fighter moved from 36 Sea Zone to 49 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 marine moved from Caroline Islands to 33 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 battleship, 3 carriers, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 1 infantry, 1 marine, 1 submarine and 2 transports moved from 33 Sea Zone to 49 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 marine moved from 49 Sea Zone to Solomon Islands
            1 infantry moved from 49 Sea Zone to Solomon Islands
            1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers moved from 30 Sea Zone to 49 Sea Zone
            2 bombers moved from 54 Sea Zone to Caroline Islands
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 54 Sea Zone to 49 Sea Zone
            1 carrier and 1 fighter moved from 36 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 43 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 36 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 36 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 43 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from French Indo China to 42 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Anhwe
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Hunan to French Indo China
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Guam to 21 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 21 Sea Zone to 19 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 19 Sea Zone to Manchuria
            1 transport moved from 19 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone

Place Units - Japanese
            1 carrier and 2 destroyers placed in 6 Sea Zone
            1 artillery placed in Japan
            3 infantry placed in Kiangsu
            3 infantry placed in French Indo China

Turn Complete - Japanese
            Japanese collect 56 PUs; end with 56 PUs
            Objective Japanese 6 Home Islands: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 59 PUs
            Objective Japanese 4 Control Dutch East Indies: Japanese met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 64 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

ANZAC : -0,33
    Americans : 0,50
    Chinese : -1,33
    Japanese : 2,67

triplea_41732_Jap5.tsvg

[JDOW]

again. In entirely whiff yunnan although the bettle was thin. The dice run does not end winning that battle no losses was 5% or so. The madness continues.

[JDOW]

Another complicated move to come.

[aequitas-et-veritas]

@JDOW:

Another complicated move to come.

For the U.S.?