@surfer said in L25 Avner (L+9) vs Surfer (X) BM4:
@Avner Boo. I can’t access the dice server! Stucifer posted earlier that this was a problem. I guess we’ll have to delay.
now it’s ok… it seems
I ran the numbers… less than 40% chance. Given the size of the battle, I bet the battle would have been close to the odds… so, I decided to do something a little different.
TripleA Move Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Combat Move - Russians
2 infantry moved from Buryatia to Sakha
I ran the numbers… less than 40% chance. Given the size of the battle, I bet the battle would have been close to the odds… so, I decided to do something a little different.
I got 15% odds for you if you’d hit me. As far as your armor goes, US clears Persia so UK can hit E. Persia with 20 mech, 12 arm, 8ftr, tac, bmb with 92% win chance.
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Purchase Units - Japanese
Japanese buy 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens;
Combat Move - Japanese
Non Combat Move - Japanese
1 armour, 3 artilleries, 9 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from French Indo China to Shan State
2 infantry moved from Malaya to Shan State
1 fighter and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Malaya to Shan State
3 fighters moved from Yakut S.S.R. to Samara
Place Units - Japanese
2 infantry placed in Malaya
Turn Complete - Japanese
Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 13
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 41 Sea Zone. Rolls: 2,6
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 37 Sea Zone. Rolls: 6,4,6,2
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 20 Sea Zone. Rolls: 5,3
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 6 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,5,4,1,2,6,6,6,6,1,3,1,3
Japanese collect 8 PUs (13 lost to blockades); end with 8 PUs total
Yeah, well, attack it and if I don’t win big then it’ll be the game.
I think that the Axis were just 1 or 2 turns behind on this one.
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Purchase Units - Americans
Americans buy 2 armour, 1 artillery, 1 bomber, 2 destroyers, 2 fighters, 1 infantry, 1 mech_infantry, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;
Combat Move - Americans
2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Iraq to Persia
1 bomber moved from Iraq to Persia
1 fighter moved from Egypt to Persia
1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Gibraltar to 91 Sea Zone
1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 91 Sea Zone to 110 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 110 Sea Zone to Normandy Bordeaux
1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 110 Sea Zone to Normandy Bordeaux
1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to Normandy Bordeaux
2 bombers moved from Gibraltar to 93 Sea Zone
1 bomber moved from Iraq to Persia
1 bomber moved from Iraq to 99 Sea Zone
1 bomber moved from Gibraltar to 93 Sea Zone
1 armour moved from Sakha to Buryatia
1 armour and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Korea to Buryatia
1 fighter moved from 8 Sea Zone to Buryatia
1 infantry moved from Aleutian Islands to 8 Sea Zone
1 carrier, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 8 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone
1 bomber moved from Iraq to Rostov
1 bomber moved from Iraq to Volgograd
Combat - Americans
Strategic bombing raid in Rostov
Bombing raid in Rostov rolls: 3 and causes: 3 damage to unit: factory_minor
Bombing raid in Rostov causes 3 damage total.
Strategic bombing raid in Volgograd
Bombing raid in Volgograd rolls: 8 and causes: 6 damage to unit: factory_minor
Bombing raid in Volgograd causes 6 damage total.
Battle in 93 Sea Zone
Americans attack with 3 bombers
Italians defend with 1 destroyer
Americans win with 3 bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
Casualties for Italians: 1 destroyer
Battle in 99 Sea Zone
Americans attack with 1 bomber
Italians defend with 1 transport
Americans win with 1 bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
Casualties for Italians: 1 transport
Battle in Persia
Americans attack with 2 bombers, 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber
Italians defend with 1 armour
Americans win with 2 bombers and 3 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is -5
Casualties for Italians: 1 armour
Casualties for Americans: 1 tactical_bomber
Battle in Normandy Bordeaux
Americans attack with 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
Italians defend with 1 factory_minor, 1 harbour and 1 infantry
Americans win, taking Normandy Bordeaux from Italians with 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
Non Combat Move - Americans
2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Normandy Bordeaux to 110 Sea Zone
1 carrier and 1 destroyer moved from 91 Sea Zone to 110 Sea Zone
1 aaGun and 1 infantry moved from Gibraltar to 91 Sea Zone
1 aaGun, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 91 Sea Zone to 110 Sea Zone
1 aaGun and 1 infantry moved from 110 Sea Zone to Normandy Bordeaux
1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Gibraltar to Egypt
3 bombers moved from 93 Sea Zone to Iraq
1 bomber moved from 99 Sea Zone to Iraq
2 bombers and 3 fighters moved from Persia to Iraq
1 bomber moved from Volgograd to Iraq
1 bomber moved from Rostov to Iraq
7 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Kiangsi to India
2 mech_infantrys moved from Tunisia to Tobruk
2 transports moved from 109 Sea Zone to 106 Sea Zone
1 submarine moved from 105 Sea Zone to 110 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Eastern United States to 101 Sea Zone
1 artillery, 1 destroyer, 3 infantry and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
1 aaGun and 1 infantry moved from Eastern United States to Quebec
2 fighters moved from Eastern United States to Gibraltar
1 bomber moved from Eastern United States to Gibraltar
Place Units - Americans
2 armour and 1 mech_infantry placed in Korea
2 destroyers and 1 transport placed in 101 Sea Zone
1 artillery, 1 bomber, 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber placed in Eastern United States
Turn Complete - Americans
Americans collect 61 PUs; end with 61 PUs total
Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 66 PUs
Objective Americans 4 Philippines: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 71 PUs
Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 76 PUs
Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 86 PUs
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Purchase Units - Chinese
Trigger Chinese Artillery Supplies: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Open
Chinese buy 2 artilleries and 7 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;
Combat Move - Chinese
1 infantry moved from Kwangsi to Yunnan
1 fighter moved from Shensi to Yunnan
2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Shensi to Kweichow
2 infantry moved from Shensi to Kweichow
1 infantry moved from Tsinghai to Shensi
1 infantry moved from Sikang to Shensi
1 infantry moved from Kansu to Shensi
1 infantry moved from Kansu to Shensi
1 infantry moved from Tsinghai to Shensi
1 infantry moved from Sikang to Shensi
Non Combat Move - Chinese
Place Units - Chinese
2 artilleries and 7 infantry placed in Yunnan
Turn Complete - Chinese
Chinese collect 23 PUs; end with 23 PUs total
Objective Chinese 1 Burma Road: Chinese met a national objective for an additional 6 PUs; end with 29 PUs
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Purchase Units - British
British buy 12 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;
Purchase Units - UK_Pacific
UK_Pacific buy 1 fighter and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;
Combat Move - British
2 fighters moved from 110 Sea Zone to Holland Belgium
1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from United Kingdom to Holland Belgium
2 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
2 infantry moved from 110 Sea Zone to Holland Belgium
12 armour and 12 mech_infantrys moved from Iraq to Eastern Persia
British take Persia from Italians
1 mech_infantry moved from India to Eastern Persia
1 fighter moved from India to Eastern Persia
1 fighter moved from Egypt to Eastern Persia
1 bomber, 6 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Iraq to Eastern Persia
1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Iraq to Northwest Persia
1 infantry moved from Yunnan to French Indo China
UK_Pacific take French Indo China from Japanese
Combat - British
Battle in Northwest Persia
British attack with 1 artillery and 2 infantry
Germans defend with 1 infantry
British win, taking Northwest Persia from Germans with 1 artillery and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
Battle in Eastern Persia
British attack with 12 armour, 1 bomber, 8 fighters, 13 mech_infantrys and 1 tactical_bomber
Germans defend with 26 armour and 8 mech_infantrys
British win, taking Eastern Persia from Germans with 1 armour, 1 bomber and 5 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 29
Casualties for Germans: 26 armour and 8 mech_infantrys
Casualties for British: 11 armour, 3 fighters, 13 mech_infantrys and 1 tactical_bomber
Battle in Holland Belgium
British attack with 3 fighters, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
Germans defend with 2 infantry
British win, taking Holland Belgium from Germans with 3 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry
Casualties for British: 1 infantry
Non Combat Move - British
3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Holland Belgium to 110 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 5 infantry moved from 110 Sea Zone to Normandy Bordeaux
5 fighters moved from Eastern Persia to Iraq
1 bomber moved from Eastern Persia to Iraq
2 armour moved from Egypt to Iraq
1 mech_infantry moved from Belgian Congo to Egypt
1 bomber moved from Iraq to Egypt
1 fighter moved from 110 Sea Zone to United Kingdom
Place Units - British
3 infantry placed in Iraq
1 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys placed in Egypt
8 infantry placed in United Kingdom
Turn Complete - British
British collect 42 PUs; end with 42 PUs total
Place Units - UK_Pacific
1 fighter and 1 infantry placed in India
Turn Complete - UK_Pacific
Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 3
Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 39 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,5,2,5
UK_Pacific collect 12 PUs (3 lost to blockades); end with 12 PUs total
Some Units in India change ownership: 1 fighter and 1 infantry
I slipped my mind that I couldn’t take all my mech with me, so it was about 50/50 instead of the massacre I originally thought it’d be. But the dice in the first round worked out well for me.
And yeah, Russia held out just long enough for me to really bottle you up in the middle east. Although to be honest, I did start to really worry about how I’d hold when I saw you had 30 some tanks left over after taking Moscow. My forces were still somewhat scattered and I honestly didn’t know if I would be able to stop you short of Egypt (if that!). Well fought game!
Hmm, let me look at the map. While it looks bad, that battle was not so one sided.
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Purchase Units - Italians
Italians buy 1 airfield and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs;
Combat Move - Italians
5 artilleries and 5 infantry moved from Southern France to Normandy Bordeaux
1 bomber moved from Southern Italy to Normandy Bordeaux
4 infantry moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
4 infantry, 1 submarine and 2 transports moved from 97 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone
1 submarine moved from 99 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
4 infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Syria
Combat - Italians
Battle in Normandy Bordeaux
Italians attack with 5 artilleries, 1 bomber and 5 infantry
British defend with 1 artillery and 5 infantry; Americans defend with 1 aaGun, 1 artillery, 1 factory_minor, 1 harbour and 2 infantry
Italians win, taking Normandy Bordeaux from Americans with 3 artilleries and 1 bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 11
Casualties for British: 1 artillery and 5 infantry
Casualties for Italians: 2 artilleries and 5 infantry
Casualties for Americans: 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
Battle in Syria
Non Combat Move - Italians
3 fighters moved from Southern Italy to Greece
1 infantry moved from Yugoslavia to Northern Italy
2 infantry moved from Western Germany to Northern Italy
1 bomber moved from Normandy Bordeaux to Southern Italy
Place Units - Italians
1 airfield placed in Greece
1 infantry placed in Southern France
Turn Complete - Italians
Italians collect 18 PUs; end with 19 PUs total
Ok, so lets go a little more. It’s probably over, but lets see if I can’t maka a little more harrowing…
I’m about to fly in another 10 ftr/tac next turn from US alone, Japan isn’t really a force anymore, US armor/mech will be pressing from Siberia, US/UK troops will continue to land in Western Europe, and UK will be able to hold Egypt from Italy since Iraq’s not going to be taken anytime soon with dozens of allied aircraft adding some heavy punch to it’s D.
I’m comfortable playing this out for another couple of rounds if you want. I just think it’s pretty hopeless at this point. Still, I won’t deprive a game opponent from taking one last stab at it.
Well the above was written before you said you’d go a little longer. :-D
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Purchase Units - ANZAC
ANZAC buy 1 bomber and 1 destroyer; Remaining resources: 2 PUs;
Combat Move - ANZAC
1 bomber moved from Java to Sumatra
1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Queensland to 54 Sea Zone
1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 54 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 41 Sea Zone to Sumatra
Combat - ANZAC
Battle in Sumatra
ANZAC attack with 1 artillery, 1 bomber and 1 infantry
Japanese defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
Japanese win with no units remaining. Battle score for attacker is -12
Casualties for Japanese: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
Casualties for ANZAC: 1 artillery, 1 bomber and 1 infantry
Non Combat Move - ANZAC
1 transport moved from 44 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Borneo to 43 Sea Zone
1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 43 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 44 Sea Zone to Celebes
2 bombers moved from New South Wales to Java
2 fighters moved from India to Iraq
1 fighter moved from Iraq to Egypt
Place Units - ANZAC
1 destroyer placed in 62 Sea Zone
1 bomber placed in New South Wales
Turn Complete - ANZAC
ANZAC collect 17 PUs; end with 19 PUs total
Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 24 PUs
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :14
Combat Move - French
Non Combat Move - French
2 infantry moved from United Kingdom to 110 Sea Zone
Turn Complete - French
TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :15
Politics - Germans
Purchase Units - Germans
Germans repair 9 damage on 9 factory_minors; Remaining resources: 87 PUs;
Germans buy 9 armour, 7 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs;
Combat Move - Germans
6 armour, 15 infantry and 11 mech_infantrys moved from Caucasus to Northwest Persia
2 infantry moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium
3 fighters moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium
Combat - Germans
Battle in Northwest Persia
Germans attack with 6 armour, 15 infantry and 11 mech_infantrys
British defend with 1 artillery and 2 infantry
Germans win, taking Northwest Persia from British with 6 armour, 15 infantry and 11 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 10
Casualties for British: 1 artillery and 2 infantry
Battle in Holland Belgium
Germans attack with 3 fighters and 2 infantry
British defend with 1 infantry
Germans win, taking Holland Belgium from British with 3 fighters and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
Casualties for British: 1 infantry
Non Combat Move - Germans
3 fighters moved from Holland Belgium to Western Germany
6 infantry moved from Volgograd to Caucasus
3 infantry moved from Rostov to Caucasus
3 armour moved from Ukraine to Caucasus
3 mech_infantrys moved from Russia to Rostov
2 infantry moved from Northern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
2 carriers, 3 fighters, 2 infantry, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport moved from 97 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone
2 infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Syria
2 infantry moved from Western Germany to Northern Italy
Place Units - Germans
3 infantry placed in Caucasus
3 armour placed in Volgograd
3 armour placed in Rostov
3 armour placed in Ukraine
3 mech_infantrys placed in Russia
4 infantry placed in Western Germany
Turn Complete - Germans
Germans collect 69 PUs; end with 69 PUs total
Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 74 PUs
Objective Germans 6 Control Iraq Or Persia Or Northwest Persia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 76 PUs
Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 81 PUs
Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 15 PUs; end with 96 PUs
Germany edit – forgot to move AA guns
TripleA Move Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Alpha 3, version: 3.6
Game History
Round :15
Combat Move - Russians
2 infantry moved from Sakha to Buryatia
GA and edit them on Japan’s turn or I’ll do so prior to the allies going.