Again, I’m giving you the absolute most likely out comes.
Between the two destroyers in SZs 106 and 109, you cannot possibily expect both to hit. Â You can expect neither to hit as that will happen much more often than having both hit. Â So it’s pretty safe to say there will be 3 submarines remaining out of the 4 that attacked there.
There are no destroyers left for England (in the Atlantic) so there are no attacks on submarines, you ARE taking Convoy, it’s only a matter of how much. Â The argument was made that each submarine averages 2 damage, so 3 submarines ~ 6 damage.
Odds are very slim you hit a bomber on SBR (17% * 17% + 17%, about 20%) so it’s pretty safe to assume you won’t hit any of them - I gave you one anyway, but that’s not very likely an outcome. Â Same for the AB, 20% so again, odds are slim you are hitting either tactical bomber as well. Â Most likely, you’re actually 21 Infantry, 6 Fighters, 6 Strategic Bombers and 4 AA Guns against 13 Infantry, 4 Artillery, 9 Armor, 5 Fighters, 5 Tactical Bombers, 2 Strategic Bombers, Cruiser and Battleship, not the severely reduced numbers I gave you assuming England’s defense was well above par. Â Even if you roll the AA Guns as both AA Guns and extra defending Bombers (so give them a defensive punch to boot) your odds are generally less than 10% you survive and I just cost you 5 American Strategic Bombers to boot.
Of course, if you introduce bids, things might change. Â I don’t play with bids because Larry has failed to give us a game that is close enough to balanced to make bids worthwhile. Â As it stands I think the allies need 15 IPC bid but have 24 IPC removed on round 6 to balance things out again (and what is removed and added as to go to England/America). Â Basically, they get 5 infantry for England to drop the odds to a coin flip and then on round 6 they lose 3 destroyers so as to keep from being unbalanced again when America’s at full force.