Scramble to Taranto?
12L LuckyLindy vs Jennifer Game 1
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OK. I just wanted to ask nicely for something that was obviously due to a hidden number of bombers. I was happy to give you a 20% shot on the fleet but not a 65% shot. In addition you got fantastic dice results so good for you. Better step up your game a few notches though if you want to have a chance in this one (or try some more unit hiding tricks).
Britain turn 6
Purchase
44 IPC
3 infantry
5 transportsCombat Moves
NWE (2 infantry) v infantry (FIN), infantry (GBR) unload in Z7, 2 fighters (Z5), fighter (Z3), *support shots with 2 battleships
SUD (infantry) v artillery (IND), 2 bombers (SUD)dice
NWE
A - 2 infantry, 3 fighters, 2 battleships
Rolls: 2@1 3@3 2@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (6, 4)3@3: (4, 5, 1)2@4: (5, 2)
D - 2 infantry
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (5, 1) -
NWE taken with infantry, 3 fighters
BUR
A - artillery, 2 bombers
Rolls: 1@2 2@4; Total Hits: 21@2: (6)2@4: (4, 2)
D - infantry
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4) -
BUR taken with artillery, 2 bombers
Noncombat Moves
2 bombers from BUR to IND
transport from Z35 to Z39
destroyer from Z38 to Z39
tank, bomber from WCA to EUS
AA gun from NWY to FIN
2 infantry, 2 tanks from FIN to GBR
2 transports, submarine, destroyer, cruiser, 2 ac from Z5 to Z7
3 fighters from NWE to Z7
AA gun from SUD to EAFMobilize
3 infantry in GBR
5 transports in Z7Income
39 + 5 NO = 44
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Yes you listed your purchase and yes JAP was the only place they could be placed, but I only look at maps, especially when I WAS this far ahead in a game. Since I did not see that the 3 was hidden under the tank (whether it was intentional or not), you had 65% odds to kill my entire fleet in Z56. I could have both blocked in Z46 AND Z53, it was not one or the other, since I had 4 destroyers in Z46. I am tempted to just give you the game since I do not think you are actually considering the request and have not even admitted that the 3 on the bombers was hidden, but I will go ahead and continue, mainly because now that you have a major hold in the WUS, it could actually make this game a challenge for me where it would not previously have been one.
Cheers
A) I apologize if you did not see the bombers - if I want to hide something, I try to move it to the corner of a map, subterfuge, after all, is a valid act in a state of war! In this case, it was not intended. Sorry.
B) You had 65% odds against me. I only had 34% odds to beat you, and got lucky. Had I failed, it would be game over.
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Italy:
Buy(10)
- 2 Infantry, Artillery
Combat Moves:
Armor from Libya to Algeria to Libya
Armor from Libya to Egypt to Suda
2 Infantry, 2 Fighters, Cruiser, Battleship (can I get the second cruiser in this game?) to Bulgaria
(both transpots to SZ 16)Combat:
Attacker:
Rolls: 2@1 3@3 1@4; Total Hits: 32@1: (5, 1)3@3: (6, 3, 5)1@4: (3)
Defender:
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (1, 4) -
I don’t know how you are getting that. Â You were about 65% to win that battle. Â And yes you got quite lucky, but still you are behind.
Cheers
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2 Fig to Italy
2 Inf to BalkansBuild: 2 Infantry, Artillery in Italy
Collect 13 + 5 NO = 18
1) Question was pretaining to whether or not you need 1 invading ground unit per shore bombardment - in 1940 you do, in AA50?
2) Just for the record, I still expect to lose this game, despite my
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I don’t know how you are getting that. � You were about 65% to win that battle. � And yes you got quite lucky, but still you are behind.
Cheers
’
Average outcome of 10,000 battles
Attacker: 8 Fig, 3 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. v. Defender: 10 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car, 1 Bat. Link to or bookmark this scenario.
Average battle duration: 3.5 rounds of combatOverall %*: A. survives: 34.5% D. survives: 63.9% No one survives: 1.7%
–------------------------------------------------------------------------------Overall %*: A. survives: 34.5% D. survives: 63.9% No one survives: 1.7%
- percentages may not total 100 due to rounding. The average results from above are highlighted in charts below, while the median result (equal odds of getting a worse or better result) is written in red. If shown, the 1st and 2nd standard deviations about the mean are represented in blue and light blue. Attacker results:
Probability % # units / losses
0.03% 16: 7 Fig, 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 1 Fig, 6 Des. : 58 IPCs
0.03% 15: 6 Fig, 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 2 Fig, 6 Des. : 68 IPCs
0.12% 14: 5 Fig, 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 3 Fig, 6 Des. : 78 IPCs
0.42% 13: 4 Fig, 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 4 Fig, 6 Des. : 88 IPCs
0.64% 12: 3 Fig, 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 5 Fig, 6 Des. : 98 IPCs
1.06% 11: 2 Fig, 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 6 Fig, 6 Des. : 108 IPCs
1.6% 10: 1 Fig, 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 7 Fig, 6 Des. : 118 IPCs
2.37% 9: 3 Bom, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 6 Des. : 128 IPCs
3.54% 8: 3 Bom, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 6 Des, 1 Cru. : 140 IPCs
3.43% 7: 2 Bom, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 1 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru. : 152 IPCs
4.35% 6: 1 Bom, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 2 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru. : 164 IPCs
4.67% 5: 4 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 3 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru. : 176 IPCs
3.53% 4: 3 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 3 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru, 1 Car. : 190 IPCs
3.31% 3: 2 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 3 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru, 2 Car. : 204 IPCs
2.89% 2: 1 Car, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 3 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru, 3 Car. : 218 IPCs
2.46% 1: 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 3 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru, 4 Car. : 232 IPCs
65.55% 0: no units. 8 Fig, 3 Bom, 6 Des, 1 Cru, 4 Car, 1 Bat. : 252 IPCs
Defender results:
Probability % # units / losses
0.02% 16: 10 Fig, 5 Car, 1 Bat. 1 Sub, 4 Des. : 38 IPCs
0.05% 15: 10 Fig, 4 Car, 1 Bat. 1 Sub, 4 Des, 1 Car. : 52 IPCs
0.22% 14: 10 Fig, 3 Car, 1 Bat. 1 Sub, 4 Des, 2 Car. : 66 IPCs
0.51% 13: 10 Fig, 2 Car, 1 Bat. 1 Sub, 4 Des, 3 Car. : 80 IPCs
0.92% 12: 10 Fig, 1 Car, 1 Bat. 1 Sub, 4 Des, 4 Car. : 94 IPCs
1.92% 11: 10 Fig, 1 Bat. 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 108 IPCs
2.7% 10: 9 Fig, 1 Bat. 1 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 118 IPCs
4.62% 9: 8 Fig, 1 Bat. 2 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 128 IPCs
6.27% 8: 7 Fig, 1 Bat. 3 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 138 IPCs
7.5% 7: 6 Fig, 1 Bat. 4 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 148 IPCs
8.03% 6: 5 Fig, 1 Bat. 5 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 158 IPCs
8.34% 5: 4 Fig, 1 Bat. 6 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 168 IPCs
7.52% 4: 3 Fig, 1 Bat. 7 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 178 IPCs
6.41% 3: 2 Fig, 1 Bat. 8 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 188 IPCs
5.33% 2: 1 Fig, 1 Bat. 9 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 198 IPCs
3.53% 1: 1 Bat. 10 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car. : 208 IPCs
36.11% 0: no units. 10 Fig, 1 Sub, 4 Des, 5 Car, 1 Bat. : 228 IPCs -
That;s frood’s report. I don’t trust dskelly, they’re almost 100% wrong and I don’t know why.
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Literally forget to move the tiles from Bulgaria to Italy for the 2 fighters.
New map.
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Who knows for sure. I think you were favored, but either way, I never would have knowingly given you more than a 20% chance in that battle. You are correct, you have a long way to go in this one to get back in the game.
Cheers
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America turn 6
Purchase
47 IPC
11 infantry
artilleryChina gets 1 infantry
Combat Moves
sbr WUS with 2 bombers (WCA) should have bombed with the Brits as well, took me a bit to realize it. Not used to bombing WUS as the allies :lol:
China
HUP (infantry) v 6 infantry (NIN)
SIK (infantry) v infantry (CHI), infantry (NIN)dice
WUS bombing
Rolls: 2@6; Total Hits: 22@6: (1, 4)HUP
A - 6 infantry
Rolls: 6@1; Total Hits: 16@1: (6, 4, 3, 2, 5, 1)
D - infantry
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2) -
5 damage to WUS
HUP taken with 5 infantry
SIK
A - 2 infantry
Rolls: 2@1; Total Hits: 02@1: (2, 2)
D - infantry
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1) -
retreat to NIN
Noncombat Moves
2 bombers from WUS to EUS
infantry from WCA to CUS
infantry, 2 AA guns from WCA to ECA
transport, destroyer, ac from Z3 to Z7
fighter from Z3 to EUS
destroyer from Z46 to Z39China
infantry from NIN to HUPMobilize
11 infantry, artillery in EUS
China
infantry in NIN
Income
29 + 10 saved = 39
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Germany:
Buy(30)
- 10 Infantry
Combat Moves:
2 Infantry, 4 Fighters, Bomber to NWE
Attacker:
Rolls: 2@1 4@3 1@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (3, 4)4@3: (4, 5, 6, 3)1@4: (2)
Defender:
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6) -
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Soviet turn 7
Purchase
42 IPC
9 infantry
3 tanksCombat Moves
EVE (empty) v infantry (URA)
POL (infantry) v 2 infantry (EPL), bomber (CAU)
BUL (infantry) v infantry, artillery (EPL)dice
POL
A - 2 infantry, bomber
Rolls: 2@1 1@4; Total Hits: 12@1: (2, 5)1@4: (3)
D - infantry
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3) -
POL taken with 2 infantry, bomber
BUL
A - infantry, artillery
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 22@2: (2, 1)
D - infantry
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2) -
BUL taken with artillery
Noncombat Moves
bomber from POL to CAU
3 infantry from PER to IND
tank from IND to PER
2 infantry from KAR to BST
3 infantry from RUS to BEL
2 tanks from RUS to EVE
tank from RUS to CHI
3 infantry from NOV to EVE
7 infantry, artillery from CAU to EUK3 infantry from RUS to CAU
3 infantry from NOV to CHI
submarine from Z29 to Z39
infantry, AA gun from NIN to HUP
infantry from CHI to NINMobilize
4 infantry, 2 tanks in RUS
2 infantry in KAR
3 infantry, tank in CAUIncome
31 + 15 NO = 46
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Have you forgotten this game Jennifer?
Cheers
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