@Funcioneta:
But how beat the axis economic advantage? Even if you manage stop Polar Express, it will stop reinforcements to Africa 2 rounds, enough time for axis securing Africa. And I’m pretty sure Italy will harass and probably kill your shuck if you only buy trannies. By round 3-4, Italy could be colecting more than UK if allies left Japan alone
I don’t think the Axis Economic adv can last or if it does it is not immediately enough to kill the combined stacks of inf/arm/ftrs that boarder Mos (or are in Mos).
For Example, say there are 9 Rus/Chi inf in Chi. Japan has to commit 7 inf and 6 ftrs (81 ipc in units to take vs. 27 to defend) or a more likely force of 7 inf, 3 arm (36 vs. 27), but that leaves the Allies the option to counter the remaining arm. Attackers need to spend 4:3 in order to take. Lots of the Axis economic adv gets eroded away killing Allied units. Unfortunately for the Axis, defense is cheaper to buy (3 ipc for 1 inf).
IMO, I don’t think the Axis should be able to maintain the eco adv long enough. Also any eco adv doesn’t come into play until several turns down the road, a lot can change in the meantime.
I also don’t think the Axis can reclaim Afr if the Allies go heavy landing in Rd 2-3. They can dump up to 16-20 troops in Afr and that excludes ftrs/boms plus the 2 Safr inf. Ita only has 1 trn, and 2 if you can keep the Ger trn alive and continue to bring down 2 Ger troops. At this point it could be safe for the US to only follow-up with 2-4 inf if attacked by Japan b/c the Allies have already done their damage. It would take an absolute major Axis commitment to hold Afr which means either 1) Japan is helping, so no assualt on NA or 2) Ger is helping, so less pressure on Mos.
As for the NA threat, I don’t think Japan can offer a credible threat before rd 3, which is almost too late. As I said the UK/US should already have landed heavy stacks in rd 2 and 3. I’m assuming Japan makes Aus and Ind a higher priority, considering the US goes after Japan and that on J1 they’d setup to at least have a shot at Aus/Ind on J2. If Japan sets up to go after the US, the US can then respond accordingly on US 1.
@marcelvdpol:
There are plenty of alternative methods to kill the Axis, but NONE are viable unless Japan is seriously threatened by more than a defensive force. USA has to build up a fleet in the Pacific (using the Carrier&Destroyer and any fleet elements that survived J1) to at least threaten to take Japanese islands (denying Japan the NO’s for Islands and Australia).
I disagree, but think I need to clarify. When I talk about falling back and ignoring Japan, I do so with the intention of confronting them on my terms (or what I hope are my terms). Basically, stretching out Japan’s supply lines while I shorten mine. I’m just not sure the Allies can put up a credible offensive in Asia in the early rds, so I just choose not to fight where Japan can use its full arsenal. I retreat and then try to pick off the weak points which should be one of the following routes: southern, central, or northern. If Japan is weak on one or more of these routes you (as the Allies) may be able to find some very favorable trades.