RJ is right.
Actually I went back and did some quick math (I’ll have to post this in the tournament section too) on the first 2 rds of the tourney.
Rd 1 - 17 games including play-in
9 Axis wins with an avg bid of 6.56 in those wins
8 Allied wins giving up an avg of 5.62
Overall avg bid = 6.12
Rd 2 - 8 games
5 Axis wins with and avg bid of 6
3 Allied wins giving up an avg of 6.33
Overall avg bid = 6.125
This does include a default or two.Â
I think these numbers can be used to support the the need for some bid for the Axis, since were fairly close to 50-50 in our first 2 rounds and the Allied players are winning while giving up 6+ IPC and the Axis also are winning there share.
If the Axis had a higher win %, you could argue that the bids are too high around here, but since they only won one more game each round I don’t think that is the case.
From my pov, I think 5-6 bid gives the Axis a fair shot and anything bid over that is just player preference (in terms of what side they want to play) or trying squeak out as much as they can.
I’ll typically bid 7-8 and take my chances with that.