On UK/America’s turn, you could place 3 destroyers, 1 sub, 1 carrier, 1 fighter, 1 tac bomber, 1 battleship on SZ 91.
That will survive 6 submarines and 1 bomber from Italy. It will not survive the following 3 subs + 4 (or more) strat bombers from Germany.
You only have two transports for 4 units, while Italy has 3 transports to take it back.
So, you can’t go to Gibraltar this turn, or probably next.
Your other option is through Trans-Jordan to take Iraq and make a push into the middle east.
In two turns, you could have 12 inf, 6 artillery, 1 mech, 1 tank, and whatever else you could build in Egypt on the round, let’s say 3 tanks.
This would be against 4 mechs/4 art/1 tank/2 planes from Japan, and 11 inf/1 art from Italy. And Italy could also fly 3 fighters in.
So you can’t do Trans-Jordan -> Iraq for the next two turns.
Russia is crippled pretty badly, and has zero hope to stand up to Germany without help. There is no help within range for 3+ turns.
I’d say the European theater, without heavy American investment, is dead, yes.
Looking at the Pacific, Japan is making 81. America is making 82. ANZAC Is making 20. You’re going to need to invest as much money as Japan is on your navy to keep the status quo. If the European theater requires heavy American investment, Japan can rebuild. Is it enough to threaten Australia or Hawaii any time in the next 2-3 rounds? Probably not. This leaves them with the alternative option of attempting to assist in the taking of Egypt. Either way, both are long term goals, and both will mean America is going to pay for diverting its attention.
I wouldn’t call this game 100% sure, but it’s not looking good with the economic disparity. Germany + Italy = 110~ this round, and Japan is going to be making 81-82. That’s ~190. The allies will make ~150. The allies must also come toward the axis, losing 1 turn of initiative.
I’m all for another round just to finish this one out.
If you’re not, also no problem, but then start the next game and take Germany’s turn, sir!
