Hi,
If you dont mind I would like to call this one already, somehow I started very badly with Germany and in the pacific. Ill start a new game tomorrow. Hope you dont mind. Thanks for your patience in the matter.
Jim010 vs Questioneer AAG40 2+ lowluck
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having trouble uploading map- I’ll have to get to this later- sorry.
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France 1
NCM- on map- I’m not writing it out for France- there’s not much there so…
map
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Hmm … I’m still getting 78% success on low luck for Sealion. Which means I would survive with little.
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78% on low luck is too risky …
Germany
Buys
1 CV, 1 DD, 11 inf, 3 art
CM
Bul to Greece
4 infSit to Greece
1 tac, 1 fhtWge to Greece
1 bmbYugo to Greece
3 tanksHol to Wfr
2 inf, 3 fht, 1 tac -
Take 1 fht back from Wfr
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Hmm … I’m still getting 78% success on low luck for Sealion. Which means I would survive with little.
too risky??? wow…please elaborate…I’m interested in your thinking here. Taking London gains you cash back for your losses and no income from Britain for several rounds (material against you- you should count this as an asset for you). Taking the Brit Isles gain you +9 a round and 30+ cash not including the 25IPC a turn that can be churned out against you- which is save material for you.
My philosophy is that as Germany you at least have to threaten Sealion to force Britain to build infantry. I’m puzzled. :?
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I won’t survive with enough.
If you want me to do Sealion anyway, I’ll do it just to see where it goes, but I’m surviving with a handful. And there is still a 1/4 chance that I still lose in lowluck.
As a playtest you want me to do it?
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No, you don’t have to, do what you want. I just think you’re a little gun shy. 78% is a lot! I’ve calculated Sealion (depending on the position which varies little to be around 60-70% give or take. Anything under 60-65% I consider too risky for me, but to each his own…
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You misunderstand the odds. Regular luck it is 55%. You never run Sealion on that. 78% on low luck. That is crappy for lowluck.
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I don’t do Sealion based on odds, but on how much I survive with. If I can get it with most of my tanks, I do it.
I’ll tell you what, I’ll run it then. But I’ll want a rematch if it blows up in my face.
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Redo
Germany
buys
9 TT, 2 inf
CM
Bul to Greece
5 infSit to Greece
1 fht, 1 tacWge to Greece
1 bmbHol to Wfr
2 inf, 2 fht, 1 tac -
Battle of Wfr
2 inf, 2 fht, 1 tac vs 1 inf, 1 tankatt = 12 pips = 2 hits
def = 5 pips
Rolls: 1@5; Total Hits: 11@5: (3) -
You misunderstand the odds. Regular luck it is 55%. You never run Sealion on that. 78% on low luck. That is crappy for lowluck.
I see…then I truly haven’t grasped low luck stats yet…we’ll do what you want…it doesn’t matter to me.
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Battle of Greece
5 inf, 1 fht, 1 tac, 1 bmb vs 4 infatt = 16 pips = 2 hits r4
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 01@4: (5)def = 8 pips = 1 hit r2
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2) -
Greece 2
att = 14 = 2 hits
def = r4
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (1) -
NCM
Greece to Wge
1 fht, 1 tac, 1 bmbWfr to Wge
1 fht, 1 tacWfr to sz112
1 fhtsz112 to Wge
1 tacHol to Gib
1 fhtWge to Gib
1 tacFin to Nor
5 infsz111 to sz110
1 sbHol to Wge
1 infParis to Wge
1 art, 5 tanksYugo to Wge
3 tanksYugo to Hun
4 infGer to Hun
3 art, 14 infWge to Ger
2 infPlace
sz112
9 TTGer
2 infCollect
$53
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1 change - I’ll put the units that went to Hun into Pol instead.
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R2
Buy- 5inf, 1art, 3tnks- no change
NCM
18inf, 1AA fm Bury to Yak
all unit fm Bury to NUkr
3tnk fm Rus to BeloPlacement
3tnk on Rus
1art, 2inf on Novgo
3inf on UkrCollect - $37
I’ll get map later tonight
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Stirling, here’s the map based on the typed moves.
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