Yeah, the main problem I see with this strategy is it doesn’t matter if the Allies capture Tokyo first. The Allies win condition is to capture all 3 Axis capitols, and the Axis can still win on the Europe half if Tokyo is in Allied hands.
So, it doesn’t really matter if it takes Germany a turn or two after Japan falls to take Egypt.
The gambit isn’t necessarily for the allies to win by taking Tokyo (just part of it), but rather to take Japan out of the picture by round 9-10 and own the Pac side (somehow wipe out the Imperial Navy and Air Force?). This will allow the US to switch gears to the Euro side by say round 8-9 (ready to make a difference by round 11-12).
It might even be possible for the allies to own the Pacific side w/o actually taking Tokyo (we know that Japan can easily make their capital a fortress). If the allies can overload Japan in Asia (kick them off the continent), and gain control of the islands they will take away most of Japans income. Add to that heavy SBR/convoy and the Japanese will be dropped to 0 income, even if they do still hold their capital. The thing is that the Japanese would have to had to made a deadly mistake and lost both the their navy, and most of their air force. This is where I take exception, say Japan doesn’t play into your hands, and decides to play defense, and basically runs the navy to safety, while stacking its capital with Inf and half the air force. That navy, and the other half of the Imperial Air force, along with say 8 loaded transports floating towards Africa/Mid East could cause some havoc.
While all this is happening on the Pac side, the Russians have given up the center (Moscow) so they can participate in the destruction of Japan (maybe even doing some SBR runs on Germany as well). So now the race is on, and the allies need to make sure that while this is happening Euro axis can’t get a VC win in Europe by round 10-11. Round 12 or so is when the US would be in full force looking to make a difference or start def/grabbing VCs.
The thought is to take Tokyo (or at least neuter Japan and the Pac side), while not losing the game to an 8 VC win on the Euro map. Once Japan is out of the picture, and if the Euro axis don’t have the 8 VCs (or can’t keep them for an entire round), the allies will over power the Euro axis soon after. Once the allies have the Pac side in the bag, and can 100% focus on Europe map……at some point the axis would just surrender.
I’m not convinced it will work, but it could win you a game or two until the axis figure out ways to counter it. Like any risky strat, it could also cause you to look the fool if the axis players adjust well on the fly LOL