11L '41 - Manstein (axis) v BoldFresh (Allies) Bid 6, +NOs, No Tech

[Manstein]

of course afterwards
i’m learning a lot from watching you
didn’t see that belorussian move coming at all last round either
nor that you would hold back the UK spend
am pretty screwed in europe
probably left russia too late. no money to steal even if i do take it, but i’ve got to kill those russkie troops now

anyway italians abandon french attack, tank withdraws to germany
brits lose 2 inf in france

Russia
13 tanks
Rolls: 13@3; Total Hits: 1013@3: (3, 1, 4, 1, 2, 3, 4, 3, 2, 5, 3, 2, 2)

v 10 inf, 2 art, 15 arm
Rolls: 12@2 15@3; Total Hits: 1512@2: (6, 6, 5, 1, 2, 2, 6, 3, 2, 3, 4, 6)15@3: (3, 3, 2, 3, 1, 2, 5, 2, 5, 5, 3, 2, 2, 6, 3)

[Manstein]

lady luck seems to work all points east of poland

italians wiped out
russians lose 10 infantry
Russia holds with 2 art, 15 arm

[boldfresh]

holy CRAP 10/13???  geez.

[Manstein]

Non Combat Movement
Fgt (Cauc) => Germany
3 inf, art (Pol) => Germany

Mobilisation
3 tanks, 2 art, 1 inf - Italy
1 inf - Caucasus

Italy collects 19+10=29, has 29

AA41_Manstein_Boldfresh+6_09eIta.AAM

[boldfresh]

very strategic US turn coming up, will have to ponder it for a while…

[boldfresh]

USA with 55 buys 3 inf, 3 arm, 3 trn (45), ftr (10)

CM

bra - inf, arm (eus), ftr (z10)
z22 (trn) - ftr (pan)
z50 (2 trn, 5 des, 2 acc, 4 ftr, bat) - 7 sub, 2 des, 4 ftr (z52), 2 bom (wak) enter through z51 and z60

combat:

bra - inf, arm, ftr vs. inf
Rolls: 1@1 2@3; Total Hits: 21@1: (5)2@3: (1, 2)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

[boldfresh]

bra cwol

z50 - 7 subs, 2 des, 4 ftr, 2 bom vs. 5 des, 2 acc, 4 ftr, bat (can the american redeem their terrible defeat in the previous naval battle?)

atk:

subs:
Rolls: 7@2; Total Hits: 37@2: (6, 4, 1, 3, 5, 1, 1)
destroyers, fighters and bombers
Rolls: 2@2 4@3 2@4; Total Hits: 62@2: (6, 2)4@3: (2, 4, 2, 3)2@4: (2, 1)

[boldfresh]

will await your OOL - looks like the americans are serious this time.

[boldfresh]

just state your casualties in round 1 and i will continue.

[boldfresh]

if your defense roll is poor, this could be a whole new game.

[Manstein]

lose BB hit, 2 DD to subs
lose 2 ACC, BB, 3 DD to non subs
= left for r2: 4 fgt

[Manstein]

luck balancing out again
that’s 4 over par for you according to my calculator
top 10% result

[boldfresh]

I think it was between 2 and 3 hits over but let’s not speak of balance until we see your defense, which has been particularly scalding in naval battles.

Defense of z50 - 5 des, 2 acc, 4 ftr, bat
Rolls: 7@2 5@4; Total Hits: 67@2: (3, 2, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1)5@4: (6, 6, 5, 4, 4)

[boldfresh]

The way you get expected number of hits is to add up the total attack number and divide by six.  So for my attack roll it was 38/6 or 6.3.  For your defense it was 34/6 or 5.6.

[boldfresh]

i lose 6 subs

z50 round 2 - 2 des, 4 ftr, 2 bom vs. 4 ftr
atk:
Rolls: 2@2 4@3 2@4; Total Hits: 62@2: (5, 6)4@3: (3, 3, 1, 1)2@4: (2, 1)
def:
Rolls: 4@4; Total Hits: 34@4: (1, 3, 5, 3)

[Manstein]

surely you can’t lose 6 subs first time
one of the 4 hits was from a fighter, which can’t hit a sub, so it must have hit something else, presumably a destroyer, which reduces the number you can roll for in r2

[Manstein]

they didn’t hit r2, so i’ll let it ride if you want to
but pls reflect the extra DD lost when you do map

[Manstein]

i presume you will then lose the second destroyer and then two of the 6 aircraft

[Manstein]

of course, i’m happy to take my chances if you want to re-roll the second round

[boldfresh]

not sure what you’re talking about.  i can lose all subs because you have destroyers present, which make the subs eligible casualties for the aircraft.

AA41_Manstein_Boldfresh+6_09fUSA.AAM