Calculator was telling me around 2/3 of winning… guess that won’t be the case :|
After a G1/J1 with a total of 5 losses for you and none battle going bad, I’m almost sure that my odds are less than 50% against a good opponent ; so I figured that such odds were not so bad, but looks like the conclusion is that my odds of winning juste decreased ^^
Will finish my turn later on ; need to figure what to do from that :)
yeah yoshi you are right on the probability, but i was thinking the axis had many different ways of responding to an attack like that which could result in them securing the suez. admittedly i was forcing tough decisions on you, but definitely was not expecting such a favorable outcome. arigato dicey! :mrgreen:
sorry for the delay… work took all my A&A time :(
Results
Algeria taken (mt).
Egypt holds with loss of 1inf ; 1tnk, 1fgt, 1bmb retreat
India liberated, no losses.
NCM
1inf, 1tnk UK -> Algeria via fleet sz2 -> sz12
1fgt UK -> sz12
1fgt Egypt -> sz12
1bmb Egypt -> Trj
3inf, 1AA Persia -> Trj
1tp sz43 -> sz22
2inf Rhodesia -> Congo
Place units
1tp, 1BB sz2
4inf UK
Collect $29+1=30
yeah yoshi you are right on the probability, but i was thinking the axis had many different ways of responding to an attack like that which could result in them securing the suez. admittedly i was forcing tough decisions on you, but definitely was not expecting such a favorable outcome. arigato dicey! :mrgreen:
For sure that would not have been a permanent gain for the allies ; was just hoping a little profit here…
Anyway, this game looks like a loss if there is no serious change in a way or another, I need to try things :)
I2
4 inf 1 arm
-sud mt
egy 1 inf twol
-ukr 2 inf 1 rtl
bul 2 inf
ita 1 inf 1 rtl
z16 1 cru 1 bb
a
Rolls: 2@1 2@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (5, 4)2@2: (3, 2)1@3: (3)1@4: (6)
d
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 13@2: (1, 4, 6)
a
Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 21@1: (1)2@2: (4, 2)
d
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)
bul-bst 1 arm
US 2:
Purchase
4fgt (40)
1DD (8)
Combat Moves:
Iwo Jima (1inf)
2inf W. Canada via 1tp sz56 -> sz59
4fgt sz56
1BB sz56 -> sz59 bombardment
Dice…
Iwo Jima rd1
A: 2inf, 4fgt, 1BB
Rolls: 2@1 4@3 1@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (6, 3)4@3: (6, 1, 4, 1)1@4: (5)
D: 1inf
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)
Results:
Iwo Jima taken, no losses.
NCM:
4fgt Iwo Jima -> sz59
fleet sz56 -> sz59
1bmb E. Canada -> W. Canada
1inf, 1art Panama -> W. Canada via 1tp sz20 -> sz56
Place Units:
1DD Sz56
4fgt W. US
Collect $38+10=48
ok…let’s press this advantage
G3
7 inf 1 arm 2 bmb
-kar 2 inf
bst 1 inf 1 rtl
epl 7 arm
-bel 2 inf
bst 2 inf 1 rtl
-trj 3 inf 1 arm 1 bmb 1 aa
egy 3 inf 1 rtl 1 arm
blk 1 inf 1 rtl
-z12 1 ss 1 dd 1 ac 2 ftr 1 bb 2 trn
z8 1 ss
fra 3 ftr
lib 1 ftr
ger 1 bmb
pol 1 bmb
bel
a
Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 11@1: (5)2@2: (5, 1)
d
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (5, 4)
a
Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 21@1: (1)2@2: (2, 3)
d
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)
bel twol
kar
a
Rolls: 2@2 7@3; Total Hits: 12@2: (1, 4)7@3: (6, 4, 4, 6, 5, 4, 5)
d
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 5)
reload
a
Rolls: 2@2 7@3; Total Hits: 32@2: (5, 3)7@3: (6, 5, 2, 1, 4, 1, 6)
d
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)
kar twol
trj
a
Rolls: 2@1 4@2 1@3; Total Hits: 22@1: (2, 4)4@2: (2, 5, 1, 4)1@3: (5)
ool?
I’ll go ahead and roll the z12 attack too for now
z12
a
Rolls: 1@2 4@3 2@4; Total Hits: 51@2: (3)4@3: (2, 2, 1, 3)2@4: (6, 4)
nice!
ool in z12 too please
5 of 6 air… looks like game over :(
I have a first strike in sz12…
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)
Looks like I made a mistake during my simulations… thought you had 59% there where it is almost 80…
Well, diced and mistakes… you should be the next champion ;)
keep the BB in sz12
and loose the bmb in Trj
yeah, the sub i pulled out into z8 to use is the swing factor…can absorb a hit but otherwise your sub unlikely to absorb one back.
TRJ
d
Rolls: 1@1 3@2 1@3; Total Hits: 11@1: (4)3@2: (5, 1, 4)1@3: (5)
TRJ
a
Rolls: 1@1 4@2 1@3; Total Hits: 31@1: (6)4@2: (1, 1, 6, 3)1@3: (2)
d
Rolls: 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 4)1@3: (1)
