All depends on the Allies dispocitions, do they KGF or KJF ?
As general, your 30 income can not face US 42 income, so your route shold be going west, away from US forces, while stalling US fleet as long as possible with as less units as possible.
KJF
If Russia play conservative in Europe and stack in Buryata, and UK attack Borneo and that other island, or French Indo China, and kill your tranny and sub, and use the carrier and trannies to block you, and place a factory in India or Ausstralia, then you can be sure US will place 2 carriers in the water and come after you, and then I dunno what to do.
KGF
Now if Russia stack in Yakut, UK move all naval units away from Pacific, then you might figure US too will move the navy from Pacific to Atlantic. Buy 3 trannies, move them to sea zone 45 and threat Australia, Hawaii and Western US. Attack China. Decide what route to take to Moscow. If you go Indian route, you can choose to take Africa.