@cwglee51 Hi nice to meet you and thanks for chipping in :)
Yes, I would also say that the defender has the freedom to decide since the attacker (me) messed up.
L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43)
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L21 SF jkeller vs trulpen (+43) OOB.tsvg
Game History
Round: 8
Purchase Units - Americans Americans buy 1 carrier, 2 destroyers, 2 fighters, 2 infantry, 2 submarines and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Americans 1 bomber moved from Trans-Jordan to Ukraine 1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone Americans take 35 Sea Zone from Japanese 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 33 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines 8 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone Combat - Americans Strategic bombing raid in Ukraine Germans roll AA dice in Ukraine : 0/1 hits, 0,17 expected hits Bombing raid in Ukraine rolls: 3 and causes: 3 damage to unit: factory_minor Bombing raid in Ukraine causes 3 damage total. Battle in Philippines Battle in 36 Sea Zone Americans attack with 8 fighters, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber Japanese defend with 1 destroyer Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 36 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 36 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 36 Sea Zone Americans win, taking Philippines from Japanese, taking 36 Sea Zone from Neutral with 8 fighters, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8 Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer Non Combat Move - Americans 8 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 36 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Queensland to 54 Sea Zone 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 54 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 destroyer and 1 submarine moved from 54 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 carrier and 1 submarine moved from 10 Sea Zone to 30 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 10 Sea Zone to 25 Sea Zone 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 91 Sea Zone to United Kingdom 1 submarine moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 91 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone 1 carrier moved from 91 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 carrier moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from Western United States to 91 Sea Zone 1 aaGun, 2 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone 1 aaGun, 2 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 1 aaGun and 2 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco 1 mech_infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco 1 bomber moved from Ukraine to Russia 1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from Amur to 35 Sea Zone 1 battleship, 7 carriers, 2 cruisers, 7 destroyers, 2 fighters and 4 submarines moved from 33 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Amur to Buryatia 1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone Place Units - Americans 1 fighter placed in Eastern United States 1 fighter placed in Western United States 2 infantry placed in Central United States 1 transport placed in 101 Sea Zone 1 destroyer placed in 101 Sea Zone 1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 2 submarines placed in 10 Sea Zone Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from 91 Sea Zone: 1 submarine EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to 93 Sea Zone: 1 submarine EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Americans undo move 6. 1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 1 submarine placed in 10 Sea Zone 1 submarine placed in 101 Sea Zone Turn Complete - Americans Americans collect 58 PUs; end with 58 PUs Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 68 PUs Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 73 PUs Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 78 PUs Objective Americans 4 Philippines: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 83 PUs Purchase Units - Chinese Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed Chinese buy nothing; Remaining resources: 5 PUs; Combat Move - Chinese Turn Complete - Chinese Chinese collect 0 PUs; end with 5 PUs Purchase Units - British British buy 3 fighters and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Purchase Units - UK_Pacific UK_Pacific buy 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; Combat Move - British Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode 1 bomber moved from Trans-Jordan to 97 Sea Zone 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from Gibraltar to 97 Sea Zone 2 submarines moved from 93 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone EDIT: 1 destroyer moved from 91 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 3 artilleries moved from Algeria to 92 Sea Zone 2 artilleries and 2 transports moved from 92 Sea Zone to 94 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Tunisia to 94 Sea Zone 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 94 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 94 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from 96 Sea Zone to Malta 1 battleship moved from 92 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 1 transport moved from 92 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Tobruk to 96 Sea Zone 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 96 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Cyprus Combat - British Battle in 97 Sea Zone British attack with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters, 2 submarines and 1 tactical_bomber; Americans loiter and taunt Germans defend with 1 submarine; Italians defend with 1 destroyer and 2 submarines British roll dice for 2 submarines in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits British roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 5/6 hits, 3,17 expected hits Italians roll dice for 3 submarines in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/3 hits, 0,50 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 destroyer in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the Italians, 1 submarine owned by the Germans and 2 submarines owned by the Italians lost in 97 Sea Zone British win, taking 97 Sea Zone from Germans with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters, 2 submarines and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 26 Casualties for Italians: 1 destroyer and 2 submarines Casualties for Germans: 1 submarine Battle in Cyprus British attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry Italians defend with 1 infantry British roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits British roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Italians and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Cyprus British win, taking Cyprus from Italians with 1 artillery remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for British: 1 infantry Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry Battle in Malta British attack with 2 artilleries and 2 infantry Italians defend with 1 infantry British roll dice for 1 battleship in Malta, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,67 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Malta, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Malta British win, taking Malta from Italians with 2 artilleries and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - British Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode 3 aaGuns, 2 artilleries, 14 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Burma to India 2 fighters moved from Persia to Russia 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Iraq to Northwest Persia 2 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from Persia to Northwest Persia 3 infantry moved from Trans-Jordan to Iraq 3 infantry moved from Egypt to Trans-Jordan 1 aaGun moved from Tobruk to Alexandria 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 97 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 bomber moved from 97 Sea Zone to Trans-Jordan 1 carrier moved from 92 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone EDIT: 1 aaGun moved from Morocco to Gibraltar EDIT: 1 infantry moved from Morocco to Gibraltar EDIT: 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Morocco to Gibraltar 1 submarine moved from 71 Sea Zone to 81 Sea Zone 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Northwest Persia Place Units - British 3 fighters placed in Persia 1 infantry placed in Egypt Turn Complete - British British collect 33 PUs; end with 33 PUs Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 38 PUs Place Units - UK_Pacific 2 infantry placed in India Turn Complete - UK_Pacific UK_Pacific collect 6 PUs; end with 7 PUs Some Units in India change ownership: 2 infantryCombat Hit Differential Summary :
Americans regular : 0,67
Italians regular : -0,83
Japanese regular : -0,33
Germans AA : -0,17
British regular : 1,17
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Americans regular : 0,67
Italians regular : -0,83
Japanese regular : -0,33
Germans AA : -0,17
British regular : 1,17
Of course every allied is above expected and every axis is below what’s new lol
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average TUV swing seems to be less bad with scramble in sz97 so I will reroll it
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Which figs to scramble?
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3 Italian fighters
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If you need to adjust noncombat based on results I have no problem with that of course
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The rerolled battle.
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Adjusted. 2 UK-figs on the US-ac.
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@jkeller holy shit 34 ipc below expectation lol that was horrible
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Wasn’t good for Mussolini. With the bad result on the first go I can understand you wanted another shot. Could’ve worked, but this was of course worse. I’ll try to not assume so much regarding scrambles, but rather await your decisions.
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The difference in TUV between the two results was just 8 though.
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Oh, wait, perhaps not.
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wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet
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Yes, seems correct.
First was +26.
Second +34.
Expected TUV was +10.
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@jkeller said in L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43):
wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet
Yep, that actually makes a lot of sense.
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initial roll was -28 vs -20 expected. adjusted battle was -44 vs a -10 expected. but i would do it again
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ya first one -26. second one -44
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Game History
Round: 9 Research Technology - Germans Purchase Units - Germans Germans repair damage of 3x factory_minor; Remaining resources: 77 PUs; Germans buy 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 13 infantry and 6 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Germans 1 mech_infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan 4 infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan 1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda 1 bomber moved from Western Germany to Vologda 1 infantry moved from Volgograd to Samara 1 infantry moved from Tambov to Samara 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys moved from Volgograd to Northwest Persia 1 bomber moved from Southern Italy to Samara 4 fighters moved from Western Germany to 97 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda 1 infantry moved from Archangel to Vologda Combat - Germans Battle in 97 Sea Zone Germans attack with 6 fighters British defend with 1 destroyer; Americans defend with 1 submarine 1 submarine owned by the Americans submerged Germans roll dice for 6 fighters in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 4/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone Germans win with 6 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8 Casualties for British: 1 destroyer Battle in Northwest Persia Germans attack with 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys British defend with 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 9/33 hits, 9.17 expected hits British roll dice for 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 2/11 hits, 4.17 expected hits 3 artilleries owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 6 infantry owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 20 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 10/31 hits, 8.83 expected hits British roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 2/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits 1 tactical_bomber owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia Germans win, taking Northwest Persia from British with 11 armour and 18 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 35 Casualties for Germans: 4 mech_infantrys Casualties for British: 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Battle in Kazakhstan Germans attack with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry Russians defend with 1 infantry Germans roll dice for 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 0.83 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Kazakhstan Germans win, taking Kazakhstan from Russians with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry Battle in Samara Germans attack with 1 bomber and 2 infantry Russians defend with 1 infantry Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 2 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Samara Germans win, taking Samara from Russians with 1 bomber and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry Battle in Vologda Germans attack with 1 bomber and 3 infantry Russians defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Vologda Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 3/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 artillery in Vologda, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 artillery owned by the Russians lost in Vologda Germans win, taking Vologda from Russians with 1 bomber and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Russians: 1 artillery and 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Germans 3 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel 2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel 1 bomber moved from Samara to Volgograd 3 artilleries moved from Ukraine to Bryansk 3 artilleries moved from Belarus to Bryansk 2 mech_infantrys moved from Poland to Belarus 1 infantry moved from Archangel to Smolensk 1 transport moved from 115 Sea Zone to 114 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Germany to 114 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 114 Sea Zone to 115 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from 115 Sea Zone to Novgorod 8 mech_infantrys moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary 1 mech_infantry moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary 1 bomber moved from Vologda to Archangel 1 fighter moved from 97 Sea Zone to Volgograd 2 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Southern Italy 3 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Western Germany 2 aaGuns moved from France to Western Germany Place Units - Germans 3 infantry placed in Ukraine 3 infantry placed in Volgograd Germans undo move 1. 1 artillery and 2 infantry placed in Ukraine 3 infantry placed in Novgorod 2 infantry placed in Germany 3 infantry placed in France 1 fighter and 6 mech_infantrys placed in Western Germany Germans undo move 5. 1 infantry placed in Western Germany 2 infantry placed in France Turn Complete - Germans Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2 Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,1 Germans collect 62 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 62 PUs Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 67 PUs Objective Germans 6 Control Iraq Or Persia Or Northwest Persia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 69 PUs Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 74 PUs Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 84 PUsCombat Hit Differential Summary :
Americans regular : -0.33 Russians regular : -1.67 Germans regular : 4.83 British regular : -1.33
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