I wonder about the bomber and Egypt….if you don’t use the bomber than Germany has poor odds in Egypt. It seems to me this opens the door for either 1) USA is free to focus on Japan or 2) UK focuses completely on Europe, while USA reinforcements shore up Africa before Italy can build up. Just in general the Middle/East seems to be a key region for Axis and allowing the Egypt forces to live means United Kingdom has way more optons there.
I can definitely understand using the bomber on the BB or in Karelia instead… but Egypt seems so critical even if Axis gets owned in Africa 95% of the time. At least you force the Allies to divert forces there.