Sorry, wrong use of the computer calucator.
Using my theroy of points which is
If you say Japan wins easily its 3 points to Japan.
If you say Japan most of the time its 2 points to Japan, 1 to balenced.
If you say balenced then its 3 points to balenced
Vice versa for allies.
Its much better to play as Japan-42%
Its pretty balenced-45%
Its better to play as the allies-13%