Its definitely possible for Japan to make forward progress on the mainland while keeping up with fleet escalation with the USA. If USA goes pacific the first two turns become very crucial for Japan because it has to make sure its ability to reinforce the mainland isnt disrupted. Usually that means building factories on round1 and round2.
With all due respect, that doesn’t make sense.
How could Japan build factories on round1 and round2 in response to USA going Pacific in the first two turns? That’s impossible, because Japan goes before the USA.
And besides, Japan building mainland factories is exactly what I want to see when I’m the USA going after Japan. It means they’ll spend money on ground troops (which take forever to get anywhere) and I will be able to take most of the islands I want and probably destroy the Jap fleet, too.
It doesn’t sound like you guys have seen a wide variety of AA50 games played out, because I have seen several that you apparently have never seen. USA going Pacific is not a bad idea, it is a good idea. It doesn’t just “slow the inevitable fall of Russia”. I have seen multiple games where the USA 100% Pacific strat just plain kicks butt, and plays a large part in an Allied victory. And don’t give me this “competent Japanese player” crap. I have been on the giving and receiving end several times, and usually Japan gets their butt kicked, because they’re trying to do two or more things at once, and the USA is just focused on dismantling Japan.
I don’t have anything more to say, but the best way I could prove my point would be to play you. The last time I had a difference in perspective about a basic AA50 strat, I challenged the other person to a game, and proceeded to win 6 in a row, and lose none. I deliberately did not use a strat that he said was crucial for the Axis. We are good playing friends now, because we were friendly in our game to resolve our differences. He still wouldn’t admit that I’d proved my point, but I did. (It was that in '41, he said it was a big error to not attack Egypt in G1 and another big error to not attack Yunnan in J1) I disagreed, and we settled our difference on the board.
I understand why you are making the arguments you’re making. It’s because you haven’t seen the USA go after Japan with great success. Or because in your games the Axis usually win. If you really want to see games that go differently than what you’ve seen, you should observe some of the many games played on these forums, or you should play me. And like I said, I don’t believe bids are necessary, changing turn orders is not necessary, and I don’t care which side I have.