Okay, tin. I can buy turn four given the plan goes without hitch and the dice land in Germany’s favor in most of the battles.
Just glad you agree that turn 3 was a little exaggerated. 🙂
Anyway, turn 4 is pushing the envelope, it could theoretically happen, but realistically speaking, even with building as many tanks as possible with Germany (I say as possible since it’s safe to assume Germany is losing 10-20 IPC a round to SBRs thus reducing Germany’s available income to 30ish IPC) you might be able to break Russia’s back.
I am not saying Germany will lose. I am saying it would be more realistic for Germany and Japan to plan a tank dash to Moscow with the goal of taking Moscow on Round 6. This would account for some bad dice and the loss of income to Germany.