Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3


  • if u dont want to dice for me, np

    i ll do it from home when i find time.

    cheers

  • '19

    actually, i didnt see your attack very well, I might scramble, will confirm later

  • '19

    riskiest uk1 I have probably ever seen.

  • '19

    yeah full scramble 2 italian ftrs 1 german ftr. OOL is bb hit, ca, 2 ital ftrs, german ftr, bb


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    riskiest uk1 I have probably ever seen.

    ur german navy sucess didnt left me much choice


  • total annihilation in sz 97

    only my sub survived.

  • '19

    Id say that was a pretty lucky UK1.


  • TripleA Turn Summary: UK_Pacific round 1

    TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4

    Game History

    Round: 1
    
        Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 3 carriers; Remaining resources: 4 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Americans
    
        Non Combat Move - Americans
            1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 1 submarine and 1 transport moved from 26 Sea Zone to 10 Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from Hawaiian Islands to Western United States
            1 cruiser moved from 101 Sea Zone to 28 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Eastern United States to Western United States
            1 fighter moved from 10 Sea Zone to Western United States
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 10 Sea Zone to Western United States
            1 fighter moved from Philippines to Guam
            1 destroyer moved from 35 Sea Zone to 23 Sea Zone
            1 submarine moved from 35 Sea Zone to 48 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Central United States to Western United States
            1 mech_infantry moved from Central United States to Western United States
            2 aaGuns, 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Eastern United States to Central United States
            1 infantry moved from Central United States to Western United States
            1 aaGun moved from Western United States to Central United States
    
        Place Units - Americans
            3 carriers placed in 10 Sea Zone
    
        Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 52 PUs; end with 56 PUs
    
        Purchase Units - Chinese
            Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
            Chinese buy 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Chinese
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Chinese from Suiyuyan: 1 infantry
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from Hunan: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
            EDIT: Changing ownership of Hunan from Japanese to Chinese
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            Turning on Edit Mode
            EDIT: Removing units owned by Japanese from Yunnan: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
            EDIT: Changing ownership of Yunnan from Japanese to Chinese
            EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode
            3 infantry moved from Kweichow to Hunan
            1 fighter moved from Szechwan to Hunan
            5 infantry moved from Szechwan to Yunnan
    
        Combat - Chinese
    
        Non Combat Move - Chinese
            1 infantry moved from Shensi to Szechwan
            1 fighter moved from Hunan to Szechwan
    
        Place Units - Chinese
            4 infantry placed in Szechwan
    
        Turn Complete - Chinese
            Chinese collect 10 PUs; end with 10 PUs
            Objective Chinese 1 Burma Road: Chinese met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 13 PUs
    
        Purchase Units - British
            British buy 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 marine; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Purchase Units - UK_Pacific
            UK_Pacific buy nothing; Remaining resources: 17 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - British
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from India to 39 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 cruiser, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 39 Sea Zone to 80 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 80 Sea Zone to Iraq
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Iraq
            1 fighter moved from Gibraltar to 96 Sea Zone
            1 cruiser moved from 98 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 98 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Malta to 97 Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from United Kingdom to 97 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Scotland to 106 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 109 Sea Zone to 106 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 111 Sea Zone to 119 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 119 Sea Zone to 118 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from United Kingdom to 97 Sea Zone
            1 mech_infantry moved from Egypt to Iraq
    
        Combat - British
            Italians scrambles 3 units out of Southern Italy to defend against the attack in 97 Sea Zone
            Battle in Iraq
                British attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Neutral_Axis defend with 3 infantry
                    British roll dice for 1 cruiser in Iraq, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.50 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Iraq, round 2 : 3/5 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                    Neutral_Axis roll dice for 3 infantry in Iraq, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                    3 infantry owned by the Neutral_Axis and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Iraq
                British win, taking Iraq from Neutral_Axis with 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 mech_infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for British: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Neutral_Axis: 3 infantry
            Battle in 106 Sea Zone
                British attack with 1 destroyer and 1 fighter
                Germans defend with 2 submarines
                    British roll dice for 1 destroyer and 1 fighter in 106 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 2 submarines in 106 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 submarine owned by the Germans lost in 106 Sea Zone
                    British roll dice for 1 destroyer and 1 fighter in 106 Sea Zone, round 3 : 0/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 submarine in 106 Sea Zone, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 1 destroyer and 1 fighter in 106 Sea Zone, round 4 : 2/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 submarine in 106 Sea Zone, round 4 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
                    1 submarine owned by the Germans lost in 106 Sea Zone
                British win, taking 106 Sea Zone from Germans with 1 destroyer and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 12
                Casualties for Germans: 2 submarines
            Battle in 118 Sea Zone
                British attack with 1 destroyer
                Germans defend with 1 submarine
                    British roll dice for 1 destroyer in 118 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    Germans roll dice for 1 submarine in 118 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
                    1 submarine owned by the Germans lost in 118 Sea Zone
                British win with 1 destroyer remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for Germans: 1 submarine
            Battle in 96 Sea Zone
                British attack with 1 cruiser and 1 fighter
                Italians defend with 1 destroyer and 1 transport
                    British roll dice for 1 cruiser and 1 fighter in 96 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 destroyer and 1 transport in 96 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 destroyer owned by the Italians lost in 96 Sea Zone
                    1 transport owned by the Italians lost in 96 Sea Zone
                British win with 1 cruiser and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 15
                Casualties for Italians: 1 destroyer and 1 transport
            Battle in 97 Sea Zone
                British attack with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber
                Germans defend with 1 fighter; Italians defend with 1 battleship, 1 cruiser, 2 fighters and 1 transport
                    British roll dice for 1 submarine in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 3.17 expected hits
                Units damaged: 1 battleship owned by the Italians
                    Italians roll dice for 3 fighters in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 battleship, 1 cruiser and 1 transport in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                    1 destroyer owned by the British, 1 cruiser owned by the Italians and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone
                    British roll dice for 1 submarine in 97 Sea Zone, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 battleship owned by the Italians lost in 97 Sea Zone
                    British roll dice for 1 bomber, 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 3 : 2/4 hits, 2.33 expected hits
                    Italians roll dice for 3 fighters in 97 Sea Zone, round 3 : 3/3 hits, 2.00 expected hits
                    1 tactical_bomber owned by the British, 1 fighter owned by the Germans, 1 fighter owned by the Italians and 2 fighters owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone
                    British roll dice for 1 submarine in 97 Sea Zone, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 transport owned by the Italians lost in 97 Sea Zone
                    British roll dice for 1 bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 fighter in 97 Sea Zone, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    1 bomber owned by the British and 1 fighter owned by the Italians lost in 97 Sea Zone
                British win, taking 97 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
                Casualties for British: 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber
                Casualties for Italians: 1 battleship, 1 cruiser, 2 fighters and 1 transport
                Casualties for Germans: 1 fighter
    
        Non Combat Move - British
            1 fighter moved from 96 Sea Zone to Malta
            1 carrier moved from 98 Sea Zone to 81 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Alexandria to 98 Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 98 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone
            1 aaGun moved from Malta to 96 Sea Zone
            1 aaGun, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 96 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone
            1 aaGun and 1 infantry moved from 93 Sea Zone to Southern France
            1 infantry moved from Anglo Egyptian Sudan to Egypt
            1 armour, 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Alexandria to Egypt
            1 destroyer moved from 71 Sea Zone to 81 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from Union of South Africa to Rhodesia
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Iraq to Syria
            1 infantry moved from West India to Eastern Persia
                  British take Eastern Persia from Neutral_Allies
            1 marine moved from Malaya to 37 Sea Zone
            1 battleship and 1 marine moved from 37 Sea Zone to 41 Sea Zone
            1 marine moved from 41 Sea Zone to Sumatra
                  UK_Pacific take Sumatra from Dutch
            3 infantry moved from Malaya to Shan State
            1 destroyer moved from 39 Sea Zone to 37 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from 106 Sea Zone to Quebec
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Ontario to Quebec
            1 transport moved from 109 Sea Zone to 106 Sea Zone
            1 aaGun and 2 infantry moved from Scotland to United Kingdom
            1 battleship and 1 cruiser moved from 111 Sea Zone to 123 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Burma to India
            1 infantry moved from Burma to India
    
        Place Units - British
            2 fighters, 1 infantry and 1 marine placed in United Kingdom
    
        Turn Complete - British
            British collect 30 PUs; end with 30 PUs
            Objective British 4 Control Convoy Lanes: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 33 PUs
            Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 36 PUs
    
        Turn Complete - UK_Pacific
            UK_Pacific collect 21 PUs; end with 38 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Germans : -0.83
    British : 2.50
    Italians : -0.17
    Neutral_Axis : 0.00
    

    Savegame


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    Id say that was a pretty lucky UK1.

    well, yes everything besides sz 97 went perfect, but truth to be said, ur subs and destroyers have low combat value, so not a big luck.

    iraq, was average too.

    sz 97 slightly worse then expected but still ok, overall i am content.

    italy may proceed when ready

  • '19

    better than 50/50 one of my sub hits, in which case you are in big trouble in atlantic. And then winning in 97 without the cruiser and cv is pretty good too. But really its the combination of a bunch of semi risky battles all winning and the fact that losing any of them is a major blow that makes it lucky.

  • '19

    TripleA Turn Summary: Italians round 1

    TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4

    Game History

    Round: 1
    
        Purchase Units - Italians
            Italians buy 1 marine and 1 mech_infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 
    
        Politics - Italians
            Italians takes Political Action: Political Action Italians To War With Chinese
                Italians succeeds on action: Political Action Italians To War With Chinese: Changing Relationship for Italians and Chinese from Neutrality to War
    
        Combat Move - Italians
            1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 1 submarine moved from 95 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Northern Italy to 93 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Libya to Tunisia
            1 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Tobruk to Tunisia
            1 infantry moved from Italian Somaliland to British Somaliland
                  Italians take British Somaliland from British
            1 infantry moved from Ethiopia to Anglo Egyptian Sudan
                  Italians take Anglo Egyptian Sudan from British
            1 infantry moved from Ethiopia to Kenya
                  Italians take Kenya from British
            2 infantry moved from Southern Italy to 95 Sea Zone
            2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 95 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone
            2 infantry moved from 92 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
            1 armour, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Northern Italy to Southern France
    
        Combat - Italians
            Battle in Gibraltar
            Battle in 93 Sea Zone
                Italians attack with 1 bomber, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 1 submarine
                British defend with 1 transport; French defend with 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer
                    Italians roll dice for 1 submarine in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    Italians roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                    French roll dice for 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 1 transport in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                    1 destroyer owned by the French and 1 cruiser owned by the French lost in 93 Sea Zone
                    1 transport owned by the British lost in 93 Sea Zone
                    Italians roll dice for 1 submarine in 93 Sea Zone, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                Italians win, taking Gibraltar from British, taking 93 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 bomber, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 27
                Casualties for French: 1 cruiser and 1 destroyer
                Casualties for British: 1 transport
            Battle in Tunisia
                Italians attack with 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
                French defend with 1 infantry
                    Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Tunisia, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    French roll dice for 1 infantry in Tunisia, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the French lost in Tunisia
                Italians win, taking Tunisia from French with 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for French: 1 infantry
            Battle in Southern France
                Italians attack with 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry
                British defend with 1 aaGun and 1 infantry; French defend with 1 artillery, 1 factory_minor, 1 harbour and 1 infantry
                    Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry in Southern France, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 1.83 expected hits
                    French roll dice for 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Southern France, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                    1 aaGun owned by the British, 1 infantry owned by the French and 1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Southern France
                    Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 1 infantry in Southern France, round 3 : 1/4 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                    French roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Southern France, round 3 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the British lost in Southern France
                    Italians roll dice for 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 1 infantry in Southern France, round 4 : 1/4 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                    French roll dice for 1 artillery in Southern France, round 4 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Italians and 1 artillery owned by the French lost in Southern France
                Italians win, taking Southern France from French with 1 armour and 2 artilleries remaining. Battle score for attacker is 9
                Casualties for Italians: 2 infantry
                Casualties for British: 1 aaGun and 1 infantry
                Casualties for French: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
    
        Non Combat Move - Italians
            Trigger Italy Occupies Southern France: Setting switch to false for conditionAttachment_French_Territory_May_Turn_Vichy_Switch attached to French
            2 infantry moved from Southern Italy to Northern Italy
            2 infantry moved from Southern Italy to Northern Italy
            2 aaGuns moved from Southern Italy to Northern Italy
            1 armour and 2 infantry moved from Albania to Bulgaria
            1 armour moved from Bulgaria to Romania
            1 aaGun moved from Northern Italy to Southern France
            1 aaGun moved from Northern Italy to Southern France
            1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Tobruk to Libya
            1 artillery moved from Ethiopia to Kenya
            1 bomber moved from 93 Sea Zone to Western Germany
    
        Place Units - Italians
            1 marine and 1 mech_infantry placed in Northern Italy
    
        Turn Complete - Italians
            Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 3
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 2,1
                Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 72 Sea Zone. Rolls: 6
            Italians collect 13 PUs (3 lost to blockades); end with 14 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Italians : -0.33
    French : -1.17
    

    Savegame


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    better than 50/50 one of my sub hits, in which case you are in big trouble in atlantic. And then winning in 97 without the cruiser and cv is pretty good too. But really its the combination of a bunch of semi risky battles all winning and the fact that losing any of them is a major blow that makes it lucky.

    i had +14 in s7 97

    i ended up with +8


  • @Amon-Sul said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    better than 50/50 one of my sub hits, in which case you are in big trouble in atlantic. And then winning in 97 without the cruiser and cv is pretty good too. But really its the combination of a bunch of semi risky battles all winning and the fact that losing any of them is a major blow that makes it lucky.

    i had +14 in s7 97

    i ended up with +8

    so its slightly unlucky for that battle


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    better than 50/50 one of my sub hits, in which case you are in big trouble in atlantic. And then winning in 97 without the cruiser and cv is pretty good too. But really its the combination of a bunch of semi risky battles all winning and the fact that losing any of them is a major blow that makes it lucky.

    yes, but its still around 50 %. sub sucks on defense


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    better than 50/50 one of my sub hits, in which case you are in big trouble in atlantic. And then winning in 97 without the cruiser and cv is pretty good too. But really its the combination of a bunch of semi risky battles all winning and the fact that losing any of them is a major blow that makes it lucky.

    i decided that its worth the (small) risks, and i let ur battleship live.

  • '19

    67% chance one of my subs hits. only slightly worse than your odds for winning 97.

  • '19

    and just to be clear I am not complaining about anything. Just stating facts. I just prefer not to lose on UK1 if possible and so would never be so aggressive. But we all get to do what we want.


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    67% chance one of my subs hits. only slightly worse than your odds for winning 97.

    but even if one sub scored a hit, i go on. its not the end of the world.


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    and just to be clear I am not complaining about anything. Just stating facts. I just prefer not to lose on UK1 if possible and so would never be so aggressive. But we all get to do what we want.

    i understand . np. feel free to comment. i like statistics too :)


  • @ksmckay said in Ksmckay (Axis) vs Amon-Sul (Allies +17) BM3:

    and just to be clear I am not complaining about anything. Just stating facts. I just prefer not to lose on UK1 if possible and so would never be so aggressive. But we all get to do what we want.

    i dont like italy. i like to smash their navy. and i dont like german subs, so its personal :grin:

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