Once the UK turn is done, curious if you compare the position to this one, which is an aggressive ally move, both done with and without Taranto.
In the Taranto scramble game, the German player is down to 11 planes.
Now let’s see what Italy can do.
It can take on the carrier + fighters with everything they have. It’s a toss up with negative IPC swing, leaves no land attack except for Southern France and Tunisia.
If they don’t take carriers / fighters, then they probably hit 96 (85% battle without bomber, lets the French boats escape the Med, not good.
So Italy attacks the French fleet, cannot attack Greece,
They cannot attack the 99 transport either.
So now let’s look at Germany’s commitments: 110 is possible if build carrier, but not great odds, potentially costly. London can be reinforced. That attack would leave Greece alone, 97 alone, 96 alone and 99 alone. There is no air support for Normandy/Holland. At least 4 units are needed for Normandy and 3 for Holland to avoid failing retaking them. That accounts for all the artillery and the mech Infantry which isn’t ideal. How can Germany go after the Soviet Union with 5 planes left, no navy, and Greece in UK hands (with Italy Crippled). Sea Lion may be possible but costly and dependent on outcome of 110 battle.
The wise move is to hit the 99 transport (must do, southern Italy tactical). There are 4 fighters, 4 tacs and 2 bombers left. Bombing raid on London can’t be done without ignoring 97. If want to both kill 97 and Greece, you send 3 airplanes to Greece + Tank + Infantry (+5 IPC 98% battle).
The remaining 3 fighters, 3 tacs and 1 bomber face the carrier and fighters, that’s a +20 IPC battle.
Now I haven’t touched the British cruiser in 96, or the American cruiser in 91. If I want to hit the British cruiser in 96 I send 2 bombers, which leaves only 5 planes for 97 (that becomes a 90% battle in this case)
Plane losses would be 0.5 plane in Greece, 0.5 plane in 96, 2.5 planes in 97. That takes the Luftwaffe down from 11 planes to 8 planes, which non only helps the Soviets but also reduces the potency of the Luftwaffe attack on 110.
With benefit of American reinforcements and this reduced strength, another landing can take place, and a second fleet can establish itself in 92. With taking Greece, Persia and Holland, UK income is a great 39 which can provide quite a bit of punch if Italy remains contained. Before you know it, Germany has its hands full here. Am I too optimistic here?
On Pacific side, I like how rare Japanese units are on Islands/near the continents. The US doesn’t have much fleet yet but we know the Japanese fleet will be in the money Island/near India for a while. Why bother build a large navy when you can link up Queensland and Malaya. Planes are more flexible and faster.
triplea_35254_jap1 - OmegaUKNoScramble.tsvg triplea_35254_jap1 - OmegaUK - With Taranto Scramble.tsvg
