L20 DKL33 (L+12) vs AetV (X) Game 1

Game History

Round: 3 Purchase Units - Americans Americans buy 1 carrier, 2 fighters, 2 infantry and 5 submarines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Americans 1 submarine moved from 54 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 54 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 54 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone 3 fighters moved from Queensland to 55 Sea Zone 1 cruiser moved from 91 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone 2 fighters moved from Gibraltar to 92 Sea Zone 1 bomber moved from Gibraltar to 92 Sea Zone Combat - Americans Battle in 44 Sea Zone Americans attack with 1 submarine Japanese defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 44 Sea Zone Americans win, taking 44 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Japanese: 1 transport Battle in 55 Sea Zone Americans attack with 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber Japanese defend with 1 submarine Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 55 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 submarine in 55 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits 1 submarine owned by the Japanese lost in 55 Sea Zone Americans win with 1 destroyer, 4 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for Japanese: 1 submarine Battle in 92 Sea Zone Americans attack with 1 bomber, 1 cruiser and 2 fighters Italians defend with 1 battleship Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 cruiser and 2 fighters in 92 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 2.17 expected hits Units damaged: 1 battleship owned by the Italians Italians roll dice for 1 battleship in 92 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in 92 Sea Zone Americans roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 cruiser and 1 fighter in 92 Sea Zone, round 3 : 2/3 hits, 1.67 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 battleship in 92 Sea Zone, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 cruiser owned by the Americans lost in 92 Sea Zone 1 battleship owned by the Italians lost in 92 Sea Zone Americans win with 1 bomber and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is -2 Casualties for Americans: 1 cruiser and 1 fighter Casualties for Italians: 1 battleship Non Combat Move - Americans 1 bomber moved from 92 Sea Zone to Egypt 1 fighter moved from 92 Sea Zone to Egypt 2 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 2 infantry, 2 mech_infantrys and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco 1 armour and 1 infantry moved from Morocco to Algeria 1 transport moved from 91 Sea Zone to 88 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from Suriname to 88 Sea Zone 2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 88 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone 2 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco 2 transports moved from 91 Sea Zone to 101 Sea Zone 4 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 55 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 54 Sea Zone to Queensland 1 tactical_bomber moved from 54 Sea Zone to Queensland 2 carriers and 1 submarine moved from 30 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone 1 destroyer and 3 submarines moved from 10 Sea Zone to 30 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from Western United States to Hawaiian Islands 1 mech_infantry moved from Western United States to Central United States Place Units - Americans 2 infantry placed in Central United States 2 fighters placed in Western United States 1 carrier and 5 submarines placed in 10 Sea Zone Turn Complete - Americans Americans collect 52 PUs; end with 52 PUs Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 62 PUs Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 67 PUs Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 72 PUs Purchase Units - Chinese Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed Chinese buy 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; Combat Move - Chinese 2 infantry moved from Szechwan to Yunnan 1 fighter moved from Szechwan to Yunnan 4 artilleries and 10 infantry moved from Szechwan to Shensi Combat - Chinese Battle in Yunnan Chinese attack with 1 fighter and 2 infantry Japanese defend with 1 infantry Chinese roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Yunnan, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Yunnan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Yunnan Chinese win, taking Yunnan from Japanese with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Battle in Shensi Chinese attack with 4 artilleries and 10 infantry Japanese defend with 1 infantry Chinese roll dice for 4 artilleries and 10 infantry in Shensi, round 2 : 4/14 hits, 3.67 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Shensi, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Shensi 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Shensi Chinese win, taking Shensi from Japanese with 4 artilleries and 9 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0 Casualties for Chinese: 1 infantry Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Chinese 1 fighter moved from Yunnan to Tsinghai Place Units - Chinese 2 infantry placed in Tsinghai 1 infantry placed in Tsinghai 1 infantry placed in Shensi Chinese undo move 1. Chinese undo move 1. 3 infantry placed in Shensi Turn Complete - Chinese Chinese collect 6 PUs; end with 7 PUs Purchase Units - British British buy 3 fighters and 1 submarine; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Purchase Units - UK_Pacific UK_Pacific buy 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - British 1 bomber moved from United Kingdom to 93 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 91 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 91 Sea Zone to 95 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 98 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 98 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 98 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from Gibraltar to 93 Sea Zone 4 fighters moved from Egypt to Iraq 3 infantry moved from Persia to Iraq 1 armour moved from Egypt to Iraq 1 fighter moved from India to 41 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from India to Burma 1 infantry moved from India to Burma 1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Burma 1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to 93 Sea Zone Combat - British Battle in 97 Sea Zone British attack with 1 submarine Italians defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the Italians lost in 97 Sea Zone British win, taking 97 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Italians: 1 transport Battle in 95 Sea Zone British attack with 1 submarine Italians defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the Italians lost in 95 Sea Zone British win with 1 submarine remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Italians: 1 transport Battle in 41 Sea Zone British attack with 1 fighter Japanese defend with 1 transport 1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 41 Sea Zone British win with 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7 Casualties for Japanese: 1 transport Battle in 96 Sea Zone British attack with 1 destroyer, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber Italians defend with 1 cruiser British roll dice for 1 destroyer, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in 96 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.50 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 cruiser in 96 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.50 expected hits 1 cruiser owned by the Italians lost in 96 Sea Zone British win with 1 destroyer, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 12 Casualties for Italians: 1 cruiser Battle in 93 Sea Zone British attack with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters Italians defend with 1 destroyer and 1 submarine British roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 4/4 hits, 2.00 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 submarine in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 destroyer in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 destroyer owned by the Italians and 1 submarine owned by the Italians lost in 93 Sea Zone British win, taking 93 Sea Zone from Italians with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 14 Casualties for Italians: 1 destroyer and 1 submarine Battle in Iraq British attack with 1 armour, 4 fighters and 3 infantry Neutral_Axis defend with 3 infantry British roll dice for 1 armour, 4 fighters and 3 infantry in Iraq, round 2 : 2/8 hits, 3.00 expected hits Neutral_Axis roll dice for 3 infantry in Iraq, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Iraq 2 infantry owned by the Neutral_Axis lost in Iraq British roll dice for 1 armour, 4 fighters and 2 infantry in Iraq, round 3 : 3/7 hits, 2.83 expected hits Neutral_Axis roll dice for 1 infantry in Iraq, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Neutral_Axis lost in Iraq British win, taking Iraq from Neutral_Axis with 1 armour, 4 fighters and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for British: 1 infantry Casualties for Neutral_Axis: 3 infantry Battle in Burma British attack with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Japanese defend with 1 infantry British roll dice for 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Burma, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.33 expected hits Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Burma, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Burma British win, taking Burma from Japanese with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - British 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Burma to Tsinghai 1 fighter moved from 41 Sea Zone to India 1 battleship moved from 76 Sea Zone to 71 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 71 Sea Zone to 83 Sea Zone 1 aaGun and 3 infantry moved from Morocco to Algeria 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 96 Sea Zone to Egypt 1 carrier, 3 cruisers, 1 destroyer and 3 transports moved from 98 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone 4 fighters moved from Iraq to Egypt 1 fighter moved from 93 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 93 Sea Zone to Gibraltar 1 bomber moved from 93 Sea Zone to Gibraltar 1 submarine moved from 109 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone 1 mech_infantry moved from Italian Somaliland to Anglo Egyptian Sudan 1 artillery moved from Italian Somaliland to Ethiopia 2 infantry moved from Belgian Congo to Anglo Egyptian Sudan 1 mech_infantry moved from United Kingdom to Eire British take Eire from Neutral_Allies 1 battleship and 1 cruiser moved from 106 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone Place Units - British 3 fighters placed in Egypt 1 submarine placed in 109 Sea Zone British undo move 2. 1 submarine placed in 110 Sea Zone Turn Complete - British British collect 33 PUs; end with 33 PUs Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 38 PUs Place Units - UK_Pacific 2 infantry placed in India Turn Complete - UK_Pacific UK_Pacific collect 6 PUs; end with 6 PUs Some Units in India change ownership: 2 infantry

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Chinese regular : 0.50 Americans regular : -2.83 Italians regular : -0.33 Japanese regular : -0.17 Neutral_Axis regular : -0.33 British regular : 0.33

@simon33 7cd6e30b-d091-4321-96f0-51dfe618fa8d-Russia 3.tsvg

Game History

Round: 3 Purchase Units - Russians Russians buy 2 artilleries and 11 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Russians 1 infantry moved from Belarus to Baltic States Russians take Baltic States from Germans 1 infantry moved from Bryansk to Belarus 1 infantry moved from Western Ukraine to Bessarabia Russians take Bessarabia from Germans 2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Bryansk to Ukraine Combat - Russians Battle in Ukraine Russians attack with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber Germans defend with 1 factory_minor and 1 infantry Russians roll dice for 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Ukraine, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.50 expected hits Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine Russians win, taking Ukraine from Germans with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Russians 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Ukraine to Bryansk 1 artillery and 8 infantry moved from Russia to Bryansk 1 infantry moved from Russia to Smolensk 5 infantry moved from Archangel to Vologda 3 infantry moved from Yakut S.S.R. to Buryatia 1 aaGun moved from Yakut S.S.R. to Buryatia 1 aaGun and 10 infantry moved from Yakut S.S.R. to Yenisey 1 infantry moved from Northwest Persia to Caucasus 1 infantry moved from Caucasus to Kazakhstan 1 submarine moved from 105 Sea Zone to 92 Sea Zone Place Units - Russians 2 artilleries and 8 infantry placed in Russia 3 infantry placed in Volgograd Turn Complete - Russians Russians collect 32 PUs; end with 32 PUs Trigger Russians 1 Lend Lease: Russians met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 37 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans regular : -0.33 Russians regular : -0.50

TripleA Turn Summary: Italians round 5

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3

Game History

Round: 5 Purchase Units - Italians Italians buy 1 carrier and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; Combat Move - Italians 1 armour moved from Bryansk to Tambov Italians take Tambov from Russians 1 armour moved from Tambov to Rostov Combat - Italians Non Combat Move - Italians 1 armour moved from Bryansk to Rostov 1 aaGun and 1 infantry moved from Yugoslavia to Bulgaria 2 artilleries moved from Greece to Bulgaria 1 bomber moved from Greece to Southern Italy 2 fighters moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone Place Units - Italians 1 carrier placed in 97 Sea Zone 1 infantry placed in Southern Italy Turn Complete - Italians Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2 Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 99 Sea Zone. Rolls: 1,1,6,2,4,3,4,1,6 Italians collect 17 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 18 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Savegame

@oysteilo 19abc51f-bcc8-4f6b-a57d-2564606356d0-Japan 6.tsvg

Game History

Round: 6 Purchase Units - Japanese Japanese buy 1 artillery, 1 carrier, 1 destroyer, 2 infantry, 3 mech_infantrys and 2 submarines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens; Combat Move - Japanese 1 artillery moved from Celebes to 44 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 44 Sea Zone to 55 Sea Zone 1 destroyer moved from 36 Sea Zone to 46 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Siberia to Soviet Far East Japanese take Soviet Far East from Russians 1 infantry moved from Suiyuyan to Kansu Japanese take Kansu from Chinese 1 infantry moved from Chahar to Suiyuyan 1 infantry moved from Hopei to Shensi Japanese take Shensi from Chinese 1 mech_infantry moved from Jehol to Chahar 1 infantry moved from Anhwe to Hopei 1 artillery moved from Anhwe to Kweichow 1 infantry moved from Hunan to Kweichow 1 infantry moved from Siam to French Indo China 1 artillery, 2 battleships, 3 carriers, 2 cruisers, 2 fighters and 1 transport moved from 44 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone 1 submarine moved from 43 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone 1 mech_infantry moved from Hunan to Yunnan 1 artillery moved from Hunan to Yunnan 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Hunan to Yunnan 1 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Anhwe 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Anhwe 1 armour, 2 artilleries and 1 fighter moved from Kwangsi to French Indo China 3 mech_infantrys moved from Kwangtung to French Indo China 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Hunan to Yunnan 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Hunan to Kweichow 1 transport moved from 6 Sea Zone to 17 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Iwo Jima to 17 Sea Zone 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 17 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone 1 artillery moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone 1 artillery moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone 1 infantry moved from Sakha to Amur 2 artilleries, 2 infantry and 2 transports moved from 6 Sea Zone to 5 Sea Zone 1 fighter moved from 36 Sea Zone to Amur 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Hunan to Kweichow 2 fighters moved from 36 Sea Zone to French Indo China 1 destroyer moved from 6 Sea Zone to 5 Sea Zone Combat - Japanese Battle in Yunnan Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 mech_infantry and 2 tactical_bombers British defend with 1 artillery Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 mech_infantry and 2 tactical_bombers in Yunnan, round 2 : 3/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 1 artillery in Yunnan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 artillery owned by the British lost in Yunnan Japanese win, taking Yunnan from Chinese with 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 mech_infantry and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4 Casualties for British: 1 artillery Battle in Kweichow Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers Chinese defend with 2 infantry Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery, 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers in Kweichow, round 2 : 2/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits Chinese roll dice for 2 infantry in Kweichow, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 2 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Kweichow Japanese win, taking Kweichow from Chinese with 1 artillery, 2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry Casualties for Chinese: 2 infantry Non Combat Move - Japanese 2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Kweichow to French Indo China 2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Yunnan to French Indo China 1 artillery moved from 36 Sea Zone to French Indo China 1 bomber moved from Kwangsi to Hunan 2 bombers moved from Hunan to Anhwe 2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from 5 Sea Zone to Amur 1 aaGun, 2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from Manchuria to Amur 1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone Place Units - Japanese 1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 2 submarines placed in 6 Sea Zone 3 mech_infantrys placed in Kwangtung 1 artillery and 2 infantry placed in Kiangsu Turn Complete - Japanese Japanese collect 60 PUs; end with 60 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Chinese regular : 0.00 Japanese regular : -1.00

Scramble order plsG1_CM.tsvg

Game History

Round: 5 Purchase Units - Italians Italians buy 2 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; Combat Move - Italians 1 armour moved from Belarus to Bryansk 1 bomber moved from Southern Italy to Bryansk 1 destroyer moved from 97 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Southern Italy to 93 Sea Zone Combat - Italians Battle in 93 Sea Zone Italians attack with 1 destroyer, 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber Americans defend with 1 submarine Italians roll dice for 1 destroyer, 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 2.00 expected hits Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 93 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits 1 submarine owned by the Americans lost in 93 Sea Zone Italians win, taking 93 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 destroyer, 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6 Casualties for Americans: 1 submarine Battle in Bryansk Italians attack with 1 armour and 1 bomber Russians defend with 1 infantry Italians roll dice for 1 armour and 1 bomber in Bryansk, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Bryansk, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits Italians roll dice for 1 armour and 1 bomber in Bryansk, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Bryansk, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits 1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Bryansk Italians win, taking Bryansk from Russians with 1 armour and 1 bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3 Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry Non Combat Move - Italians 1 bomber moved from Bryansk to Ukraine 1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Bessarabia to Ukraine 2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 93 Sea Zone to Southern Italy 1 infantry moved from Northern Italy to Southern Italy Place Units - Italians 1 infantry placed in Northern Italy 1 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys placed in Southern Italy Italians undo move 2. Italians undo move 1. 1 mech_infantry placed in Northern Italy 2 infantry and 1 mech_infantry placed in Southern Italy Italians undo move 1. Italians undo move 1. 1 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys placed in Southern Italy 1 infantry placed in Northern Italy Turn Complete - Italians Italians collect 13 PUs; end with 13 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Americans regular : -0.17 Italians regular : -1.33 Russians regular : -0.67

@666 ce7c7f6c-4d0e-472c-a4b4-aac10bc5b734-IT scramble in Normandy.tsvg
or holand?

@andrewaagamer said in GovZ (A+60) vs ABH kjf test Low Luck:

Definitely agree that variable dice can make a massive difference in a big naval battle.

This is why I’m a fan of being aggressive with the Allies in the Pacific. Attacking in multiple waves mitigates this risk - if the US wave goes badly, the UK & ANZAC waves have time to adjust. If Japan attacks and it goes badly, it’s just screwed.