My friend and I are playing this weekend and he is attacking west russia with everything on the first turn.
Your description of what your friend/opponent is doing with his turn is vague, but let’s assume the following details:
–You play with the Black Sea closed to shipping.
–He buys 6 INF, 1 ARM.
–He combat moves 12 INF, 3 ART, 4 ARM, and 1 FTR (from Karelia) to West Russia.
–Your German defenders in West Russia get 2 total hits.
–He NCM 1 FTR from Russia to Egypt, 1 FTR from West Russia to Russia, 2 AAA into West Russia, 5 INF to Yakut, 2 INF to Archangel, 1 INF to Russia, 1 SS to SZ 7, and 1 INF to Caucasus.
–He places 2 INF in Karelia, 4 INF in Caucasus, and 1 ARM in Russia.
–He collects 26 IPCs.
–He finishes the turn with 2 INF on Karelia; 10 INF, 3 ART, 4 ARM, and 2 AAA on West Russia; 2 INF on Archangel; 1 INF, 1 ARM, and 1 FTR on Russia; 5 INF on Caucasus; 1 FTR on Egypt; 1 SS in SZ 7; and 5 INF on Yakut.
I have the board set up & I’m looking at it with this scenario. Let me know if you think he’ll do anything different than this, and I’ll look at that scenario for you instead.
Here’s one possible move that I’d consider this part of a hard KRF strategy, and I’d plan to back this up with a Japanese Manchuria ARM factory. Plan to take Russia by J5.
–5 INF, 2 ART & 3 ARM
–2 SS to SZ 11
–2 SS, CA & BMR to SZ 7
–INF from Italy to AP (to drop on Gibraltar)
–BB & AP from SZ 15 to SZ 14
–INF from Northwestern Europe, INF from Germany via AP, 3 INF from Finland & 2 FTR (from Norway and Northwestern Europe) to Karelia
–3 INF, 1 ART & 4 FTR (from Germany, Poland, Bulgaria Romania, and Ukraine) to Caucasus
I’ve made a combat table for this German combat scenario.
SZ/TT Attackers Defenders odds of Victory Expected Attackers Remaining
11 2SS DD AP 87% 1-2SS
7 2SS CA BMR BB SS AP 96% 0-1SS CA BMR
14 BB AP CA 88% BB AP
Karelia 5INF 2FTR 2INF 100% 4INF 2FTR
Caucasus3INF ART 4FTR 5INF 99% 0-1INF ART 4FTR
Odds of winning all battles 73%
–7 INF, 6 FTR & 6 ARM to Ukraine
–INF to Belorussia
–2 INF to Finland
–2 INF, 4 ARM & 1 AAA to Poland
–INF & ART to Bulgaria Romania
–INF & 2 AAA to Germany
–3 INF, ART & ARM to Algeria (to counterattack either Morocco or Libya)
–BMR to Germany
–5 INF, 2 ART & 3 ARM on Germany