With the new rule of Russia and US war dec after London falling there’s no WAY Germany can hold both the remaining Allied powers off.
Is the new fall of UK rule your talking about newer than this one dated Jan 13/11?
9. The United States may declare war on any or all Axis powers at the beginning of the Combat Move phase of its next turn if London and/or any territory in North America is captured by an Axis power.
Yes, that’s the one. Germany ain’t going to hold well if both Russia and the US can get some licks in on Round 3. Well, excepting that the US and Russia players aren’t complete oblivious fools. I would hope a 10 transport buy on G2 would provoke SOME Allied response. Though with Germany starting the game with 2 major ICs in Alpha +2 the Axis can turtle a lot more effectively than they could in OOB/Alpha +1. I have yet to try Sealion myself with the new Alpha +.2 as it seems the UK is pumped up WAY too much to make Sealion plausible.
I DID win an E40 game quite awhile ago where I pulled off Sealion on G3 and gradually pushed the US and Russia back to win the game around G6-7. But that was with a US economy in the 60s and Russia in the 20s-30s. Add 30 IPCs total to those two Allies with Global and Germany needing even MORE fodder to take the 7 plane defended UK, and you have a losing proposition here. But if you help out the other two Axis powers enough, Sealion may still be worth it.
I think if Italy helps out just right and buys the Germans enough time to hold off the initial attacks while building up a combined fleet through Gibraltar, its possible you could pull Sealion off, and still keep most of the Kreigsmarine and the Regia Marina alive. The Japs should have a field day with the US panic buying in the Atlantic, and the Italians should face little opposition in Africa once they get through Egypt. Only hard part I see is getting diced for London, the entire game can falter by Round 3 if the Germans get a little bit less than even odds.