@dustwhit:
@Advosan:
Att.
-CHN with KWN and MAN inf, ftr + JAP bmb
-SZ52 with BB CC SS AC 2 ftr
-Clear all UK surface vessels with the remaining BB AC and 2 ftr
-Unload to MAN inf and arm and land ftr+bmb to MAN, place 2TT and DD in SZ61, 2art in JAP obviously.
As R, I would be incredibly tempted to take my 6 inf in Bury and attack Man at roughly a 50/50 chance of winning, and if not, likely to destroy a fgt or bmb. I consider Bury a loss by J2 anyway, so I’d go on the offense and if I loose, I’d have a tank rdy to retake Yakut when J got in range (with an inf or 2 in Nov by that time) to reestablish the choke point. Why not send 2 fgt, bmb, Kwn, and 1 inf from FIC (particularly if B sent trans back to Egt leaving 1 inf in Ind) or only 1 from Man to Chi. A minor change, but safer for Man.
Imho, J1 CHN invasion must be massive, because the real objective is a J2 XNG invasion that cannot be delayed no matter what happens in FIC or MAN. That is why I need all that inf and airforce in CHN and that one arm in MAN. And if IND is almost empty, I would prefer to add a FIC inf to CHN assault and leave 1 inf in MAN, but I would never attack with less than 5 inf 2 fgt 1 bmb (a total 2.5 hits avg)…
The R 6 inf stationed in BUR can always try and assault MAN, especially if supported by 1-2 fgt. But what happens if that fails, what happens if J scores 4 hits and R only 2 (assisted by the 2 fgt, that is…)? Will there be a second round? Can R risk a total collapse of its eastern borders? Can R afford to be so reckless, just in order to kill a fgt or 2? Because MAN cannot be conquered with 1 bmb, 1 inf, 1 arm and 4 fgt stationed there, not even by 6 inf and 2 fgt, which is pretty much all that can possibly reach there by R2.