ok, had 12 hours at work to work out a production and movement plan in my head.
Revised goal, not to take E. US, but rather to take and hold Central US first. The plan places 36 axis units on Central US turn 4. Has two blockading fleets off of each coast, and with a sub at Alaska and Mexico, I believe I can have the US collect 0-3 IPCs US4 if they fail to capture Central US. (They will have 82 to spend US4 but will collect 0-3 for US5)
German Blockade fleet = 1 BB,CA,CV,DD,7 SS, 6TRN.
Japanese Blockade fleet = 2 BB,2CA,6CV,3DD,2 SS (at Alaska+Mexico),4 TRN
Italian Blockade fleet = 1 BB,2CA,1DD,2 Sub,2TRN (requires sea lion build + UK permit survival).
Premise: Do not engage or threaten U.S. until turn 3. Then swing into motion and catch them by surprise. Only works if the US spends 1st turn builds in Pacific. May require 2nd turn builds in Pacific.
Edit: Remember when G2 plops down transports, it still appears that you are going UK first, Japan’s carriers may seem like a counter to a US build up in the Pacific and a staged attack on Hawaii. This could surprise anyone who has not read this plan or thinks US first is legitimate.
Master Production List for Plan Alpha (Hollywood AAG40)
G1: 30=CV,2TRN; collect 39+17+10=66
J1: 26=CV,TRN save 3; collect 31+3=34
I1: 10=sub,infantry save 1; collect 15 (S.France,Tunisia,Anglo)+1=16
G2: 66=DD,5TRN,3Subs,1 INF save 2; collect 41+10+2=53
J2: 34=2CV save 2; collect 31+2=33
I2: 16=1 Sub,3 Inf save 1; collect 16(S.France, Tunisia, Morocco,Alegeria)+1=17
G3: 53=15 infantry, 2 artillery; collect 51
J3: 33=2 Bomber, 3 Infantry; collect 26
I3: 17=3 Infantry, 2 Artillery; collect 15
G4: 51=13 infantry, 3 artillery; collect 51+10(c.us)=61 (USSR DOwar after G4 collects IPCs)
J4: 26=6 infantry, 2 artillery; collect 24+10(w.us)=34 (if W.US falls)
I4: 15=5 infantry
G1: Finnland, UK fleet (lose air to save subs), Bulgaria, Yugoslavia, France
J1: Chahar, Anhwe, Hunan,French indo china; move fleet to sz6, island men drop in Korea.
I1: S.France, Tunisia, Anglo,Kenya, sz 93.
G2: Normandy, begin moving units to position (transports and Berlin defense)
J2: Suiyuyan, Hopei, Amur
I2: Morocco, Algeria, Belgian Congro, F. W. Africa; beginning moving land to Berlin.
G3: Move fleet to Gibraltar (capture)
J3: Move fleet and loaded transports to Hawaii non combat use 12 fighters on carriers.
I3: Move fleet to Gibraltar, men to Berlin
US3: Decides where to spend 52 IPCs (W. US , C. US or E. US)
Threat assessments: W. US 4 transports, 18 air units from Japan
Pacific fleet, 30 air units maybe 15 ships from Japan
C. US 6 transports from Germany; 2 from Italy-maybe
E. US 6 transports from Germany; 2 from Italy-maybe(get 5 UK planes)
Atlantic fleet, 12 German ships, 2 air units; 4 Italian ships
I anticipate America pulls assets from Hawaii to W. US, builds in W. US and E. US
America could build navy in Atlantic if it can hold up vs. German and Italian fleets.
G4: Take C. US, engage Atlantic fleet if none, 1 sub + DD to sz 89
J4: Engage pacific fleet if off W. US, land in W.US if open, land 12 fighters 6 Bombers in C. US; move fleet noncombat to W. US keep men on transports if you must for J5. Land Japan air units on carriers. Move subs to Alaska and Mexico
I4: Land 2 fighters (Gibraltar) and 4 land units on C. US, Move fleet and subs to sz101
Survive American assault and you deny them 30 NO, -14 IPCs W. Coast, -26 IPCs E. Coast from convoy raiding. Result = collect zero IPCs for US 4.
If US takes central, collect 30 IPCs from NO and zero from territories.
10 [Edit] 3 units in C. US rest in Europe, drive Russia back with your 50+units vs their 35ish.
J5: Take W. US [[b]Hollywood-California] with 30 air and 8 land units, plus 4 Naval Bombardments. Land air in C.US.
I5: Blitz tank from C. US to SE mexico and central america. Other tank goes Alberta to B. Columbia. I6 take Alaska. Edit: and Mexico I6.
Battle for Central US turn US4:
Axis Forces: 36 pieces [actual]
German: 6 infantry, 6 armor HitsPerRound: 5
Italian: 2 infantry, 2 armor, 2 fighters HitsPerRound: 3
Japanese: 12 fighters, 6 Bombers HitsPerRound: 9
Allied Forces: 8 UK?, 44 pieces [estimated]
UK: 3 mech, 4 fighters, 1 Tactical HitsPerRound: 3
US: 26 infantry, 2 armor, 2 Mech, 3 artillery, 4 Bombers, 4 fighters, 3 Tactical
(assumes most of US1,US2 production went to navy for Pacific added 4 infantry)
(assumes US3 of 16 infantry 1 artillery)
(assumes US3 moved land and air from Hawaii to W. US otherwise air could not hit C.US)
Battle for Berlin: Likely none
R4: Russia move to Slovakia with 32-35 units
G5: 55+units to defend Berlin (8-10 are Italian) Should hold. USSR +18 for NOs
Seems like a game, want to try? [Note: I did not set up this board, have constructed plan from memory, let me know if I missed something obvious that defeats this, thank you]
Major Edit: having slept on it; it now occurs to me that the U.S. would collect 3 IPCs minimum for Philippines and Hawaii. Unless Japan produces subs for that region or pulled units from Hawaii staged force.