L22 OOB ABH (X) vs WinterWarrior(A+40)


  • @arthur-bomber-harris Ura! Russia has started a new five year plan


  • j1-final.tsvg

    Game History

    Round: 1
    
        Purchase Units - Japanese
            Japanese buy 1 infantry and 3 transports; Remaining resources: 2 PUs; 6 SuicideAttackTokens; 
    
        Politics - Japanese
            Japanese takes Political Action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Japanese and Americans from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Japanese and British from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Japanese and UK_Pacific from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Japanese and ANZAC from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Japanese and Dutch from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Japanese and French from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Germans and Americans from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Italians and Americans from Neutrality to War
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Chinese and Americans from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Chinese and British from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Chinese and UK_Pacific from Concordant to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Chinese and French from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Chinese and ANZAC from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Chinese and Dutch from Neutrality to Friendly
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for British and Americans from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for UK_Pacific and Americans from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for ANZAC and Americans from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Americans and French from Neutrality to Allied
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Americans and Dutch from Neutrality to Friendly
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Americans and Neutral_Allies from Neutrality to Friendly_Neutral
                Japanese succeeds on action: Political Action Japanese To War With Allies: Changing Relationship for Americans and Neutral_Axis from Neutrality to Unfriendly_Neutral
            Trigger Russians Allied Americans 5: Changing Relationship for Russians and Americans from Neutrality to Allied
    
        Combat Move - Japanese
            Trigger Japanese Unrestricted Movement: Setting movementRestrictionTerritories cleared for rulesAttachment attached to Japanese
            2 infantry moved from Siam to French Indo China
                  Japanese take French Indo China from French
            1 fighter moved from 33 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 infantry moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone
            1 armour moved from Japan to 6 Sea Zone
            1 armour, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from Okinawa to 19 Sea Zone
            1 artillery moved from Manchuria to 19 Sea Zone
            1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 19 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Formosa to 37 Sea Zone
            2 bombers moved from Japan to 37 Sea Zone
            1 cruiser moved from 20 Sea Zone to 37 Sea Zone
            1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Kwangsi to Yunnan
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Kiangsu to Yunnan
            1 infantry moved from Kiangsi to 20 Sea Zone
            1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 20 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 43 Sea Zone to Borneo
            1 infantry moved from Kiangsi to Kwangtung
            1 artillery moved from Kiangsi to Kwangtung
            1 infantry moved from Kiangsi to Hunan
            1 fighter moved from Okinawa to Kwangtung
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            2 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 6 Sea Zone to Kwangtung
            1 carrier moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 cruiser moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 battleship moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 infantry moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 infantry moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 armour moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 artillery moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
            1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Jehol to Chahar
                  Japanese take Chahar from Chinese
            1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Shantung to Anhwe
                  Japanese take Anhwe from Chinese
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Japan to Kwangtung
            1 submarine moved from 6 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 mech_infantry moved from Manchuria to Anhwe
            2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Manchuria to Hunan
            1 fighter moved from Japan to 35 Sea Zone
    
        Combat - Japanese
            Battle in Borneo
            Battle in 37 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 2 bombers, 1 cruiser and 1 fighter
                British defend with 1 battleship
                    Japanese roll dice for 2 bombers, 1 cruiser and 1 fighter in 37 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 2.33 expected hits
                    British roll dice for 1 battleship in 37 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    1 fighter owned by the Japanese and 1 battleship owned by the British lost in 37 Sea Zone
                Japanese win, taking Borneo from UK_Pacific, taking 37 Sea Zone from Neutral with 2 bombers and 1 cruiser remaining. Battle score for attacker is 10
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 fighter
                Casualties for British: 1 battleship
            Battle in 35 Sea Zone
                Japanese attack with 1 battleship, 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 1 fighter, 1 submarine, 1 tactical_bomber and 2 transports
                Americans defend with 1 destroyer and 1 submarine
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 submarine in 35 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 battleship, 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 1 fighter, 1 tactical_bomber and 2 transports in 35 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 2.67 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 35 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.17 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 35 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 submarine owned by the Americans and 1 destroyer owned by the Americans lost in 35 Sea Zone
                Japanese win with 1 battleship, 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 1 fighter, 1 submarine, 1 tactical_bomber and 2 transports remaining. Battle score for attacker is 14
                Casualties for Americans: 1 destroyer and 1 submarine
            Battle in Hunan
                Japanese attack with 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers
                Chinese defend with 2 infantry
                    Japanese roll dice for 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers in Hunan, round 2 : 4/5 hits, 2.50 expected hits
                    Chinese roll dice for 2 infantry in Hunan, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    2 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Hunan
                Japanese win, taking Hunan from Chinese with 2 fighters, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
                Casualties for Chinese: 2 infantry
            Battle in Kwangtung
                Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 3 fighters, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers
                British defend with 2 infantry; UK_Pacific defend with 1 harbour
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery, 3 fighters, 1 infantry and 2 tactical_bombers in Kwangtung, round 2 : 1/7 hits, 3.50 expected hits
                    UK_Pacific roll dice for 2 infantry in Kwangtung, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Kwangtung
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery, 3 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers in Kwangtung, round 3 : 4/6 hits, 3.17 expected hits
                    UK_Pacific roll dice for 1 infantry in Kwangtung, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the British lost in Kwangtung
                Japanese win, taking Kwangtung from UK_Pacific with 1 artillery, 3 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
                Casualties for British: 2 infantry
            Battle in Philippines
                Japanese attack with 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Americans defend with 1 airfield, 1 fighter, 1 harbour and 2 infantry
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Philippines, round 2 : 3/6 hits, 2.50 expected hits
                    Americans roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Philippines, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese, 2 infantry owned by the Americans and 1 fighter owned by the Americans lost in Philippines
                Japanese win, taking Philippines from Americans with 1 armour, 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 13
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
                Casualties for Americans: 1 fighter and 2 infantry
            Battle in Yunnan
                Japanese attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Chinese defend with 4 infantry
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Yunnan, round 2 : 3/6 hits, 2.17 expected hits
                    Chinese roll dice for 4 infantry in Yunnan, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                    2 infantry owned by the Japanese and 3 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Yunnan
                    Japanese roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Yunnan, round 3 : 3/4 hits, 1.83 expected hits
                    Chinese roll dice for 1 infantry in Yunnan, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                    1 infantry owned by the Japanese and 1 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Yunnan
                Japanese win, taking Yunnan from Chinese with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Japanese: 3 infantry
                Casualties for Chinese: 4 infantry
    
        Non Combat Move - Japanese
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Yunnan to Kwangsi
            2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Hunan to Kwangsi
            3 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Kwangtung to Kwangsi
            1 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Anhwe
            1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Kiangsu to Kiangsi
            1 aaGun and 6 infantry moved from Manchuria to Jehol
            1 fighter moved from Korea to Japan
            4 infantry moved from Korea to Manchuria
            1 carrier moved from 6 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
            1 carrier moved from 33 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 33 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from 35 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
            1 tactical_bomber moved from 35 Sea Zone to 43 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Philippines to 35 Sea Zone
            1 tactical_bomber moved from Philippines to 35 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from 37 Sea Zone to Kwangsi
            1 bomber moved from 37 Sea Zone to Kwangsi
            1 submarine moved from 19 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
            1 battleship moved from 19 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone
            1 destroyer moved from 19 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone
    
        Place Units - Japanese
            3 transports placed in 6 Sea Zone
            1 infantry placed in Japan
    
        Turn Complete - Japanese
            Japanese collect 41 PUs; end with 43 PUs
    

    Combat Hit Differential Summary :

    Chinese regular : 0.67
    Americans regular : -0.83
    Japanese regular : 1.00
    UK_Pacific regular : 0.00
    British regular : 0.33
    

  • standard J1. About average dice rolls with no major failures.


  • enjoy your big turn


  • Let’s get things started Scramble Sea of Japan?
    KamikazeUS1-Scramble (1).tsvg ?


  • @winterwarrior I am taking a gamble but the reward is great if the gamble suceeds…


  • Max scamble. 3 kamikaze attacks on each surface ship.

    I see about a 20% chance of success in this battle with an expected TUV swing of -25. Add in the chance that your fleet is out of position as it needs to pick up a surviving fighter. Are you sure the gamble is worth it?


  • With this battle being so difficult to announce order-of-losses, I would like to see the outcome of each round before deciding which units to lose.


  • @arthur-bomber-harris said in L22 OOB ABH (X) vs WinterWarrior(A+40):

    Max scamble. 3 kamikaze attacks on each surface ship.

    I see about a 20% chance of success in this battle with an expected TUV swing of -25. Add in the chance that your fleet is out of position as it needs to pick up a surviving fighter. Are you sure the gamble is worth it?

    never-tell-me-the-odds-star.gif


  • @arthur-bomber-harris No problem, was planning on stopping after first round of hits for any potential casualties choices


  • @winterwarrior dice gods don’t like me this game


  • lose the tac with that one hit.


  • not much choices for me any more…


  • @arthur-bomber-harris Agreed not really a likely outcome… You are building up some serious dice karma .


  • @winterwarrior it hasn’t been that game changing yet. I can handle these minor things that don’t ruin the overall strategy.


  • @arthur-bomber-harris Absolutely, game is far from over… Allies won’t be home by Christmas by any stretch of the imagination…


  • @winterwarrior US-1 Final.tsvg
    Game History

    Round: 1
    
        Purchase Units - Americans
            Americans buy 1 carrier, 3 fighters and 1 submarine; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Politics - Americans
            Trigger Americans War Production Eastern: has removed 1 factory_minor owned by Americans in Eastern United States
            Trigger Americans War Production Central: has removed 1 factory_minor owned by Americans in Central United States
            Trigger Americans War Production Western: has removed 1 factory_minor owned by Americans in Western United States
            Trigger Americans War Production Eastern: Americans has 1 factory_major placed in Eastern United States
            Trigger Americans War Production Central: Americans has 1 factory_major placed in Central United States
            Trigger Americans War Production Western: Americans has 1 factory_major placed in Western United States
    
        Combat Move - Americans
            Trigger Americans Unrestricted Movement: Setting movementRestrictionTerritories cleared for rulesAttachment attached to Americans
            1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 1 submarine moved from 26 Sea Zone to 6 Sea Zone
            2 fighters moved from Hawaiian Islands to 6 Sea Zone
    
        Combat - Americans
            Japanese scrambles 3 units out of Japan to defend against the attack in 6 Sea Zone
            Kamikaze Suicide Attack attacks 1 cruiser owned by the Americans scoring 0 hits.  Rolls: 6,3,4
            Kamikaze Suicide Attack attacks 1 destroyer owned by the Americans scoring 0 hits.  Rolls: 3,6,6
            Battle in 6 Sea Zone
                Americans attack with 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 2 fighters and 1 submarine
                Japanese defend with 2 destroyers, 2 fighters, 1 tactical_bomber and 3 transports
                Japanese and Americans reach a stalemate
                . Battle score for attacker is 18
                Casualties for Americans: 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 2 fighters
                Casualties for Japanese: 2 destroyers, 1 fighter, 1 tactical_bomber and 3 transports
            Moving scrambled unit from 6 Sea Zone back to originating territory: Japan
    
        Non Combat Move - Americans
            1 armour moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone
            1 armour and 1 transport moved from 101 Sea Zone to 86 Sea Zone
            1 armour moved from 86 Sea Zone to Brazil
                  Americans take Brazil from Neutral_Allies
            1 transport moved from 10 Sea Zone to 89 Sea Zone
            1 bomber moved from Central United States to United Kingdom
            2 aaGuns, 1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Eastern United States to Central United States
            1 battleship, 1 carrier, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer, 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 10 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Western United States to Wake Island
            1 cruiser moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
            1 fighter moved from Eastern United States to Gibraltar
            1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 26 Sea Zone to Wake Island
    
        Place Units - Americans
            1 carrier placed in 10 Sea Zone
            2 fighters and 1 submarine placed in 10 Sea Zone
            1 fighter placed in Eastern United States
    
        Turn Complete - Americans
            Americans collect 52 PUs; end with 52 PUs
            Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 62 PUs
            Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 67 PUs
            Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 72 PUs
    

  • @winterwarrior Game History

    Round: 1
    
        Purchase Units - Chinese
            Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
            Chinese buy 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 
    
        Combat Move - Chinese
            2 infantry moved from Kweichow to Hunan
            2 infantry moved from Szechwan to Yunnan
            1 fighter moved from Szechwan to Yunnan
    
        Combat - Chinese
            Battle in Hunan
                Chinese attack with 2 infantry
                Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                Chinese win, taking Hunan from Japanese with 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
            Battle in Yunnan
                Chinese attack with 1 fighter and 2 infantry
                Japanese defend with 1 artillery
                Chinese win, taking Yunnan from Japanese with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
                Casualties for Japanese: 1 artillery
    
        Non Combat Move - Chinese
            1 fighter moved from Yunnan to Szechwan
            1 infantry moved from Shensi to Szechwan
            2 infantry moved from Suiyuyan to Shensi
    
        Place Units - Chinese
            4 infantry placed in Szechwan
    
        Turn Complete - Chinese
            Chinese collect 10 PUs; end with 10 PUs
            Objective Chinese 1 Burma Road: Chinese met a national objective for an additional 6 PUs; end with 16 PUs
    


  • @winterwarrior Taranto Scramble?

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