for all those non-math people out there that's about a 1 in 460 chance. that's pretty unlikely but i've seen a lot worse.
How about CONSISTENTLY worse?
Playing against the Hasbro AI, I have several times come upon the occasion to have forces in Caucuses and lots of Air power in Germany and Eastern, Russia still holding Karelia, and Russia with "minimal" forces in Russia proper.
EVERY time this has come up and I attempt to send 3-4 fighters and a bomber against Russia with my Caucuses land forces, I lose 2-3 fighters AND the bomber.
I have "time machined" this, and time after time after time, I still end up with at MOST 2 fighters surviving to actually fight in Russia. MOST of the time it is only 1.
I am sorry, even with 2 rolls against 5 aircraft, I should have an average of 3 planes left, not an average of ONE.
Many games, many tries, always the same "bad dice" to save the computer's capital.