Beginner looking for feedback on his G1

[Butcher]

The only reason I suggested weeding out battles was based on their value to you. Not weeding them out will still find the odds of all the battles succeeding.

It isn't as detailed a method as any of us would like, but it isn't useless.

And I never figured out the odds of meaningless battle in this thread. I've only looked at the ones that pertain to taking and holding Karelia.

Just out of curiousity, do you notice how you are almost alone in advocating a G1 Karelia attack right now?

[Corbeau Blanc]

Just out of curiousity, did you notice you are pretty much alone with your friend Pin to flame down my low luck strat with an argument based on a dice odds method  ?

Yet still insist my strat would be at 45% by multiplying Egypt, Ukraine, East Poland using that very same method, when the goal of the strat is to hold Leningrad/Karelia. All that while you just told me that for your method to work, we need to weed out unrelated batlles? Some consistency would be welcomed...

After that, you still can't see how comparing 3 battles in the strat  with dices and using your very own method are above 80%... And still can't admit Karelia battle itself is at + 90% while Egypt is at 75%..

I'm not forcing anyone to use that strat but there is no way you will come here telling me I don't know my maths, the diference between lowluck and dices,  and then add the insult to the injure by serving me that garbadge method that suddenly put to the test became ''not as detailed as any of us would like"

End of story.